NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	74		Excitement	6.1 [591]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +23.4%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.2 [775]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -24.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	12	58%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.03	8	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	1	75%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	11	35%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Karl Malone	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.06	-0.01	22	31%	-0.21	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	9	83%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.05	-0.00	13	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	28.8	15.4	27.5	1.7	29.3	125.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.2%

IND +14.9%

UTA -8.3%

IND +10.6%

IND +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.2	81.3	100.0	101.7
season	16.3	15.4		104.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	17.4	15.9	15.6	16.5
IND	17.4	14.5	14.0	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	65	63	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-14	13	15.0	20.0	-4.97	16.0	14.5	1.52
Scott Padgett	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	13.7	16.6	-2.82	12.0	15.7	-3.71
Pete Chilcutt	13	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-14	13	22.7	15.4	7.28	12.1	16.0	-3.93
Olden Polynice	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-15	15	15.9	17.2	-1.26	15.6	15.4	0.18
John Stockton	48	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-9	3	14.4	18.7	-4.35	16.3	14.7	1.54
Howard Eisley	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-9	3	19.6	14.9	4.70	13.8	16.4	-2.57
Greg Ostertag	24	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-10	5	18.7	15.7	3.01	16.3	15.3	1.09
Adam Keefe	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.1	17.0	-1.96	16.1	15.3	0.77
Karl Malone	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.1	19.1	-4.06	15.8	15.0	0.86
Quincy Lewis	33	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-5	-5	20.2	14.3	5.90	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Bryon Russell	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-1	-13	15.3	20.4	-5.17	16.3	12.5	3.81
Jacque Vaughn	28	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-3	-9	19.3	15.2	4.15	14.2	16.1	-1.89

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	51	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-3	21	14.6	16.8	-2.23	17.8	14.6	3.26
Travis Best	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-2	19	14.5	16.5	-2.08	17.6	15.4	2.16
Al Harrington	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	0	15	14.6	16.4	-1.81	16.5	16.4	0.09
Reggie Miller	70	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	15.7	14.8	0.95	16.6	15.8	0.77
Sam Perkins	42	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	5	5	15.9	15.2	0.65	17.1	15.9	1.20
Dale Davis	42	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	15.8	15.3	0.51	15.4	17.4	-2.04
Jalen Rose	62	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	13	-11	16.2	14.0	2.26	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Jonathan Bender	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	10.0	15.7	-5.73	12.0	16.6	-4.55
Jeff Foster	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	10.0	15.7	-5.73	12.0	16.6	-4.55
Mark Jackson	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	17	-19	16.5	14.5	2.08	15.4	17.6	-2.16
Rik Smits	40	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	20	-25	16.5	14.7	1.79	15.4	17.3	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHA 82, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1	93.9%
HOU 95, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.87,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%