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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 95 Excitement5.7 [525] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +25.5%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback1.2 [841] LVPKevin Martin (HOU): -14.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.060.031071%0.151-0.021100%0.01
Samuel Dalembert0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.00683%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Goran Dragic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011250%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jordan Hill0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.013100%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Adrien0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.030.02-0.020.041259%0.063-0.091090%0.01
Chase Budinger-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.04-0.00527%-0.051-0.031100%0.00
Luis Scola-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.00-0.100.011847%-0.091-0.02475%-0.00
Kevin Martin-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.040.001018%-0.1400.002100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.160.09-0.001280%0.2500.001100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.10.100.130.040.071482%0.203-0.1000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.011560%0.092-0.03560%-0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.060.001150%0.091-0.03475%-0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.03862%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Justin Harper00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.02944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.01617%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.50.826.516.723.32.027.3123.0
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +55.5%
HOU -5.0%
ORL +1.3%
HOU -1.0%
HOU -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUORLNBAHOUORLNBA
this game15.916.615.6106.7118.2102.8
season15.416.2103.5102.8
opponent15.815.5103.0103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.616.415.814.715.9
ORL16.115.514.820.316.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger38380.12-0.620.75-0.087-162316.415.60.8016.716.60.18
Marcus Morris99-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-8715.316.0-0.6412.417.1-4.67
Samuel Dalembert3836-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-5115.016.6-1.6316.416.8-0.32
Goran Dragic2120-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-4-117.415.51.9317.316.40.92
Jordan Hill3436-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-9918.214.53.7616.716.60.10
Jeff Adrien1312-0.23-0.270.03-0.03-7-2-515.516.0-0.4417.316.50.81
Kevin Martin6060-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-5115.816.0-0.1816.417.1-0.64
Kyle Lowry6868-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.18-4-5115.517.4-1.9316.417.3-0.92
Courtney Lee4544-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-1-715.216.7-1.4816.916.40.45
Luis Scola7170-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.16-90-916.015.40.5816.517.2-0.74
Terrence Williams4847-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-101-1115.416.5-1.0317.615.61.97

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu65630.500.000.500.2681717.713.54.2216.215.20.96
Chris Duhon31330.450.050.410.0713-41715.317.4-2.0817.115.21.83
Jason Richardson60580.450.050.410.2863316.217.5-1.2717.013.83.18
Ryan Anderson51510.370.130.240.1481716.217.2-0.9516.814.72.19
Dwight Howard67670.320.180.130.2045-116.816.10.7116.414.51.87
JJ Redick51540.270.230.040.1254117.315.71.6614.518.1-3.68
Glen Davis39420.180.32-0.140.0645-115.917.2-1.2814.916.8-1.86
Jameer Nelson57560.050.45-0.410.16-413-1717.415.32.0815.217.1-1.83
Justin Harper33-0.000.50-0.50-0.0627-514.316.7-2.3814.316.0-1.63
Von Wafer1618-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-110-1114.217.2-2.9913.916.4-2.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.87,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, POR 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.9%
CLE 102, GSW 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.7%
HOU 71, POR 770.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,193.7%