NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	127		Excitement	2.7 [1224]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +12.0%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.2 [573]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -10.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.06	17	62%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	14	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
James Harden	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.21	-0.00	0.14	26	67%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	47%	0.00	3	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	72%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	7	107%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	15	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	76%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	38%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	21%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	8	37%	-0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	0.07	17	57%	-0.07	6	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	27.3	15.3	25.4	2.3	26.7	121.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.4%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +14.2%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	13.1	14.3	127.0	101.0	109.3
season	14.8	13.3		114.0	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		110.5	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	13.9	15.6	18.7	15.7
SAC	12.5	14.9	11.5	13.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	7	12	14.3	17.9	-3.68	14.2	11.5	2.71
Gerald Green	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	10	6	15.7	15.9	-0.20	13.7	12.2	1.53
Eric Gordon	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	16	-6	16.7	14.9	1.77	13.0	13.1	-0.07
Chris Paul	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	9	8	16.5	14.5	1.98	12.2	14.5	-2.35
PJ Tucker	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	8	10	16.2	14.6	1.63	13.1	13.0	0.13
James Harden	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	10	6	15.9	15.4	0.48	13.1	13.0	0.05
James Ennis III	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.40	23	3	20	15.0	16.7	-1.68	13.5	12.5	1.01
Kenneth Faried	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	16	-6	15.2	16.8	-1.62	11.9	15.5	-3.59
Isaiah Hartenstein	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	18.7	15.3	3.33	13.3	13.0	0.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	13.3	13.0	0.28	18.7	15.3	3.33
Skal Labissiere	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	13.4	13.0	0.43	18.7	14.9	3.83
Frank Mason	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	13.4	13.0	0.43	18.7	14.9	3.83
Harry Giles III	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-21	16	14.1	12.5	1.60	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Willie Cauley-Stein	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.21	-16	-10	-6	12.6	13.5	-0.96	16.0	15.6	0.40
Yogi Ferrell	49	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-16	6	13.6	12.6	0.96	15.6	15.9	-0.23
Nemanja Bjelica	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-13	0	12.7	13.5	-0.81	16.4	15.0	1.48
Marvin Bagley III	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.31	-21	-5	-16	13.8	12.1	1.69	14.8	17.0	-2.29
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.30	-22	-4	-18	12.7	13.7	-1.01	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Buddy Hield	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	-2	-22	12.2	15.0	-2.72	15.2	17.0	-1.82
De'Aaron Fox	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.34	-26	0	-26	13.1	13.0	0.10	15.1	16.7	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, ATL 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 108, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
OKC 134, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%