NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	112		Excitement	2.2 [1278]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +10.4%
Atlanta Hawks	78		Comeback	1.4 [1024]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): -5.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	65%	0.10	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	6	38%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	4	137%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	68%	0.04	4	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	5	20%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.09	9	80%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	11	37%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	57%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.06	8	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	26.7	15.2	24.6	2.3	24.6	122.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.4%

ATL -4.5%

TOR +7.8%

TOR +10.6%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	14.7	121.7	83.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		112.7	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	13.9	15.1	15.0	14.6
ATL	14.2	16.7	17.6	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.22	26	8	18	14.3	15.0	-0.63	16.4	16.2	0.19
Jakob Poeltl	36	37	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	13	8	15.0	14.3	0.67	16.8	16.0	0.84
Fred VanVleet	32	31	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	13	8	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.6	16.2	0.42
Norman Powell	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	17	0	14.1	15.4	-1.24	16.4	16.2	0.28
Lorenzo Brown	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	27	-20	15.1	14.3	0.83	17.5	15.6	1.89
DeMar DeRozan	53	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.48	20	14	6	14.8	14.3	0.54	15.4	17.6	-2.20
OG Anunoby	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.41	17	17	0	15.4	14.1	1.24	16.2	16.4	-0.28
Kyle Lowry	52	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.53	21	13	8	14.2	15.0	-0.72	16.4	16.2	0.23
Alfonzo McKinnie	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	35	-36	13.2	14.8	-1.55	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Lucas Nogueira	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	35	-36	13.2	14.8	-1.55	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Serge Ibaka	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.37	12	22	-10	14.9	14.3	0.65	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Jonas Valanciunas	38	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.34	10	24	-14	14.6	14.5	0.07	16.6	16.2	0.37

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-40	46	18.1	16.0	2.09	15.9	14.3	1.66
Tyler Dorsey	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-41	48	17.1	16.1	0.99	15.0	14.4	0.52
Malcolm Delaney	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-32	30	16.2	16.4	-0.13	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Taurean Prince	44	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.47	-20	-14	-6	16.4	16.2	0.19	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Ersan Ilyasova	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.24	-12	-22	10	17.9	15.2	2.71	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Tyler Cavanaugh	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-36	38	11.9	17.5	-5.58	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Dewayne Dedmon	44	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.40	-22	-12	-10	16.8	15.9	0.88	14.8	14.4	0.36
Josh Magette	34	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-29	24	15.1	17.1	-2.01	14.9	14.3	0.61
Marco Belinelli	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.54	-27	-7	-20	15.3	17.3	-1.98	14.6	14.5	0.12
Dennis Schroder	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.56	-28	-6	-22	16.8	15.7	1.13	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Kent Bazemore	37	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.43	-27	-7	-20	17.3	15.7	1.56	13.6	15.2	-1.52
DeAndre' Bembry	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-16	-2	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.0	14.2	0.81
John Collins	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.29	-24	-10	-14	15.6	16.9	-1.32	14.6	14.5	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 127, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 107, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
MIL 130, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%