NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	108		Excitement	3.5 [1116]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): +15.7%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.2 [1247]		LVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): -9.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	20	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	7	86%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.09	0.00	0.11	9	83%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	10	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	10	85%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	10	77%	0.09	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	20	61%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	24.5	15.4	25.4	2.4	30.5	123.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.9%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +3.4%

NOP -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.3	104.9	110.8	109.3
season	13.4	14.8		110.2	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.2		110.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.3	12.8	15.5	12.5	13.7
SAS	13.4	13.9	14.5	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-1	-3	20.7	13.3	7.35	15.2	14.3	0.89
Ian Clark	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-17	29	11.7	14.7	-3.06	14.8	14.2	0.60
Tim Frazier	60	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.40	11	-16	27	13.2	14.5	-1.23	14.4	14.3	0.13
Cheick Diallo	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.50	12	-17	29	12.5	15.0	-2.51	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Solomon Hill	23	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	8	-21	16.2	13.0	3.12	14.5	14.3	0.22
Kenrich Williams	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.48	7	-12	19	12.7	15.6	-2.91	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Jahlil Okafor	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	12	-29	15.0	12.5	2.51	14.4	14.3	0.09
Jrue Holiday	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	11	-27	14.6	12.4	2.25	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Darius Miller	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	12	-29	14.7	11.7	3.06	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Frank Jackson	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-5	5	13.2	18.2	-5.10	14.4	13.8	0.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-13	31	13.8	15.1	-1.26	14.2	13.1	1.16
Rudy Gay	58	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	-18	41	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.0	11.9	3.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	-13	31	13.9	14.9	-1.00	14.4	12.9	1.49
Derrick White	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.12	18	-13	31	14.3	14.4	-0.04	14.6	12.8	1.79
Bryn Forbes	64	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	3	-1	14.6	14.0	0.60	14.2	13.0	1.21
Davis Bertans	43	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	7	-9	13.6	14.9	-1.37	14.4	13.3	1.11
Marco Belinelli	49	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	-4	13	13.9	14.8	-0.95	14.3	13.2	1.04
Pau Gasol	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-1	7	13.7	14.6	-0.97	15.2	13.1	2.02
Patty Mills	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.52	-16	21	-37	14.5	14.2	0.27	12.2	15.2	-3.00
Jakob Poeltl	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.51	-19	24	-43	17.2	13.8	3.44	9.1	14.5	-5.48
Chimezie Metu	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	17	-29	17.9	14.0	3.88	6.3	14.5	-8.12
Quincy Pondexter	23	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.52	-20	25	-45	16.1	13.8	2.24	9.1	15.0	-5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 97, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHH 79, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%