NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	8.6 [229]		MVP	Thomas Bryant (WAS): +73.3%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	19.6 [160]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -19.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Vonleh	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.24	0.04	0.21	0.01	11	54%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.11,0.18,0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	18	66%	0.39	5	-0.25	2	100%	0.03
Damyean Dotson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	8	81%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	8	72%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	11	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.73	0.73	0.07	0.69	0.02	7	71%	0.73	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.01	16	54%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.11	0.01	11	43%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	6	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.06	-0.03	29	41%	0.03	7	-0.23	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	29.5	14.6	26.4	2.4	35.9	132.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +14.2%

NYK -0.7%

WAS +4.1%

WAS +28.8%

WAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	13.4	14.3	101.0	103.1	109.3
season	14.5	13.8		103.8	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	17.9	13.7	19.1	15.8
WAS	15.1	13.4	12.5	12.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	33	33	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.00	11	-12	23	16.5	15.4	1.09	14.2	13.0	1.17
Damyean Dotson	51	51	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-8	15	16.7	14.8	1.89	13.1	13.8	-0.71
Mitchell Robinson	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	19.3	14.9	4.46	12.7	13.6	-0.87
Noah Vonleh	53	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-7	13	14.5	17.3	-2.79	13.4	13.5	-0.14
Mario Hezonja	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	5	-11	17.0	14.9	2.11	12.5	14.1	-1.50
Luke Kornet	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	1	-3	14.9	18.0	-3.13	13.7	12.9	0.81
Allonzo Trier	47	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.65	4	-5	9	16.6	15.0	1.58	14.1	12.8	1.28
Kevin Knox	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	6	-13	15.2	16.7	-1.51	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	6	-13	15.0	16.6	-1.67	14.1	12.8	1.27
Emmanuel Mudiay	66	65	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	11	-23	15.4	16.5	-1.09	13.0	14.2	-1.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	79	78	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-8	17	13.2	14.6	-1.48	15.8	15.7	0.09
Chasson Randle	44	44	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-3	7	14.0	13.0	1.06	17.5	14.4	3.08
Bradley Beal	83	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-5	11	13.1	15.2	-2.08	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Otto Porter Jr.	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	-1	3	13.1	14.2	-1.14	16.6	13.6	3.04
Thomas Bryant	34	33	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	2	-3	13.8	13.2	0.54	13.9	16.7	-2.86
Sam Dekker	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-2	5	14.4	12.9	1.55	17.3	14.8	2.52
Troy Brown Jr.	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	-4	9	10.2	14.3	-4.01	18.0	15.2	2.83
Ian Mahinmi	15	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	9	-17	16.5	12.9	3.65	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Jeff Green	45	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	13.7	13.2	0.42	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Tomas Satoransky	64	66	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	11	-21	13.5	13.3	0.27	14.4	18.5	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1	91.2%
CHH 93, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.43,0.42,1	91.2%
MIL 88, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1	91.1%