NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	6.5 [519]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +28.9%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	47.1 [50]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -39.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	12	35%	-0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.07	-0.13	-0.03	21	50%	-0.10	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.39	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,-0.04,-0.39	0.01	-0.39	0.01	24	56%	-0.26	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29	0.29	0.05	0.21	-0.03	10	71%	0.31	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.09,0,-0.08,-0.19,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	16	52%	-0.10	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.5	29.3	15.7	23.4	2.5	34.4	127.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +65.4%

CHH -16.1%

CHH -18.2%

NJN +18.7%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.6	98.9	101.1	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.8	16.8	15.8	20.2	16.2
NJN	15.4	13.9	13.6	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	44	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-1	0	17.6	15.0	2.61	13.0	15.6	-2.52
Robert Traylor	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	15.6	16.3	-0.66	18.0	14.2	3.79
Bryce Drew	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-6	10	12.6	16.4	-3.83	19.8	14.1	5.69
Jamaal Magloire	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	7	-16	16.7	15.6	1.10	13.5	15.5	-2.02
George Lynch	85	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-7	12	16.2	16.9	-0.74	14.6	12.8	1.81
Elden Campbell	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-9	16	15.6	16.7	-1.10	15.5	13.5	2.02
Baron Davis	90	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	16.4	12.5	3.89	14.0	24.2	-10.27
Jamal Mashburn	91	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	2	-6	16.1	20.0	-3.90	14.3	16.5	-2.18
P.J. Brown	56	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	15.6	17.2	-1.66	15.2	13.1	2.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	38	38	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.60	3	-1	4	16.3	13.1	3.19	16.9	15.7	1.22
Jason Kidd	84	85	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-9	20	13.7	20.1	-6.36	16.9	10.2	6.64
Richard Jefferson	54	55	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-1	4	15.9	12.5	3.38	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Lucious Harris	50	50	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.59	1	1	0	15.7	13.0	2.66	16.5	15.9	0.63
Kenyon Martin	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.61	-2	4	-6	13.9	16.0	-2.10	15.9	17.0	-1.02
Brian Scalabrine	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	18.7	14.1	4.65	13.6	16.4	-2.87
Keith Van Horn	58	58	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.27	6	-4	10	13.2	16.3	-3.11	17.0	15.0	1.98
Jason Collins	56	56	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.16	-1	3	-4	13.1	16.3	-3.19	15.7	16.9	-1.22
Kerry Kittles	54	53	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	10	-18	14.3	14.5	-0.24	14.9	17.9	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.42,1	91.2%
POR 88, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.58,1	90.9%
MIL 88, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1	90.5%