NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	8.0 [312]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): +41.1%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.2 [820]		LVP	Bruce Brown (DET): -12.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0.33	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,0.33	0.03	0.31	0.01	14	47%	0.37	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.24
Luke Kennard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	0.00	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	15	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	8	56%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.17	-0.03	11	81%	0.39	1	0.03	10	100%	0.06
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.4	0.40	0.01	0.40	0.01	10	65%	0.48	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	69%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.02	0.05	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.2	15.5	25.3	2.3	38.0	137.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +90.2%

DET -40.4%

DET -14.4%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	14.3	108.1	112.4	109.3
season	15.3	14.9		107.5	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		107.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.1	12.8	16.7	14.8	14.7
ORL	14.3	13.9	15.3	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	49	48	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.17	6	-8	14	13.5	16.0	-2.51	14.7	14.6	0.08
Zaza Pachulia	49	48	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-9	16	13.7	15.7	-1.99	14.7	14.6	0.20
Langston Galloway	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-8	14	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.3	14.4	0.95
Reggie Jackson	58	57	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.15	-5	3	-8	15.3	13.9	1.38	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jose Calderon	40	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-7	12	14.3	15.1	-0.78	15.3	14.2	1.06
Reggie Bullock	57	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	2	-6	15.0	14.4	0.54	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Blake Griffin	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.9	1.14	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Andre Drummond	50	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	7	-16	15.7	13.7	1.99	14.6	14.7	-0.20
Stanley Johnson	36	36	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.61	-2	0	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.38	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Bruce Brown	59	58	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.66	-10	8	-18	15.8	13.2	2.58	14.6	14.7	-0.07

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	77	79	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.80	6	-4	10	14.9	13.5	1.45	14.7	14.7	0.05
Terrence Ross	55	58	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.63	2	0	2	14.7	14.5	0.18	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Evan Fournier	58	60	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	14.6	14.7	-0.16	15.8	13.1	2.78
Nikola Vucevic	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	-3	8	14.2	15.7	-1.48	15.4	13.2	2.25
Aaron Gordon	69	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-3	8	14.5	15.0	-0.44	15.2	13.5	1.68
Wes Iwundu	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	3	-4	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Mo Bamba	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	5	-8	15.7	14.2	1.48	13.2	15.4	-2.25
Jonathon Simmons	19	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.7	-0.48	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Jonathan Isaac	68	67	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	1	0	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Jerian Grant	11	9	-0.55	1.05	-1.61	-0.29	-9	11	-20	13.6	14.8	-1.14	15.1	14.7	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.63,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DEN 108, UTA 118	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 87, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%