NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	6.2 [541]		MVP	Fred Jones (NYK): +20.2%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.2 [342]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -10.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.01	0.07	11	70%	0.09	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	2	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	17	54%	0.13	4	-0.13	7	71%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	10	30%	-0.13
Pat Garrity	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	12	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	-0.00	9	72%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	19	48%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	16	55%	0.09	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	16	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.05	10	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	26.4	17.4	28.2	1.8	36.0	138.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -0.9%

NYK +20.6%

NYK +11.3%

NYK +18.5%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.4	93.8	102.0	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		109.9	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.6		109.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	14.0	15.0	13.5	14.6
NYK	15.3	16.5	15.7	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	18	19	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-17	24	16.6	14.1	2.51	17.1	14.6	2.47
Keith Bogans	38	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	14.6	14.6	0.01	15.6	14.8	0.85
Pat Garrity	38	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	15.8	13.8	2.01	16.2	14.4	1.80
Keyon Dooling	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-18	26	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Rashard Lewis	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	2	-14	14.3	15.1	-0.75	14.8	15.7	-0.98
Maurice Evans	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	3	-16	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.0	13.7	2.32
Jameer Nelson	65	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	8	-26	14.4	14.9	-0.54	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Hedo Turkoglu	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	1	-12	14.2	16.5	-2.32	14.8	16.6	-1.76
Dwight Howard	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.16	-17	7	-24	14.1	16.6	-2.51	14.6	17.1	-2.47

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	56	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.04	22	-12	34	16.2	13.7	2.49	15.2	13.6	1.63
Wilson Chandler	91	89	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-1	12	15.1	14.9	0.27	14.3	17.4	-3.08
Zach Randolph	51	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-3	16	16.0	14.1	1.89	15.3	13.7	1.63
Mardy Collins	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	4	2	14.0	15.7	-1.66	13.4	15.2	-1.75
Jared Jeffries	56	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-7	24	15.1	15.2	-0.14	15.0	14.1	0.89
Jamal Crawford	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.12	16	-6	22	15.4	14.8	0.58	15.3	13.7	1.58
Nate Robinson	66	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	13	-16	14.5	16.3	-1.74	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Fred Jones	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	21	-32	16.5	14.2	2.27	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Renaldo Balkman	30	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	20	-30	14.1	15.6	-1.46	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Randolph Morris	16	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	21	-32	10.9	15.9	-4.99	12.3	15.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.63,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 107, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.84,1	93.8%
DEN 108, UTA 118	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NOH 89, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%