NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.9 [603]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (MIA): +26.9%
Miami Heat	106		Comeback	1.2 [1079]		LVP	Norris Cole (MIA): -5.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Arnett Moultrie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	11	38%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	51%	0.09	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.13	-0.05	10	70%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.06	0.06	17	75%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	61%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	39%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.4	26.4	16.8	30.3	3.5	28.2	131.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +56.5%

PHI -2.9%

MIA +1.3%

PHI -2.5%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.2	15.4	98.9	119.1	104.1
season	15.5	15.7		100.5	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.3	17.5	16.9	15.3
MIA	14.0	18.6	17.6	19.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arnett Moultrie	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-24	29	10.7	16.1	-5.43	17.7	17.1	0.56
Justin Holiday	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-18	17	12.9	15.8	-2.93	17.4	17.2	0.17
Nick Young	33	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-18	17	16.4	14.7	1.77	19.0	16.0	3.00
Jrue Holiday	73	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-15	11	14.9	17.5	-2.59	17.1	17.9	-0.85
Lavoy Allen	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-15	11	14.3	15.8	-1.55	18.1	16.8	1.32
Dorell Wright	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-15	11	15.6	15.0	0.56	18.4	15.7	2.71
Thaddeus Young	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.09	-13	-6	-7	15.5	15.1	0.36	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Spencer Hawes	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-3	-13	15.4	15.2	0.18	16.5	18.3	-1.77
Damien Wilkins	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	5	-29	16.0	13.9	2.07	16.4	19.0	-2.55
Evan Turner	60	57	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	0.15	-33	14	-47	16.3	13.3	2.98	16.4	18.7	-2.35

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-3	25	17.4	17.0	0.39	15.0	15.8	-0.73
Norris Cole	43	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	4	11	18.0	16.5	1.52	15.8	14.8	0.97
Rashard Lewis	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	6	7	17.8	16.5	1.26	15.7	14.9	0.79
Chris Andersen	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	8	3	17.9	16.5	1.45	15.7	14.9	0.85
Ray Allen	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	7	5	17.8	16.5	1.25	15.9	14.7	1.18
Udonis Haslem	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	9	1	15.7	18.2	-2.49	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Mike Miller	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	11	-3	16.5	17.9	-1.45	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Joel Anthony	35	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	15	-11	16.0	18.0	-1.95	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Mario Chalmers	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	15	-11	16.5	18.0	-1.52	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Shane Battier	47	47	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	23	-27	17.9	16.5	1.35	15.4	15.2	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	93.4%
DET 107, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.84,1	93.2%
SAC 95, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%