NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	118		Excitement	10.3 [84]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +32.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	3.5 [499]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -15.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.29	-0.02	0.35	0.03	21	45%	0.32	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.14	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	8	74%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.12	0.16	-0.03	0.01	20	66%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.11	-0.01	11	33%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.15	0.01	-0.12	0.04	8	61%	-0.02	2	-0.12	2	0%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.26	-0.01	20	52%	0.33	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.07	0.23	-0.00	9	72%	0.33	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	0.01	24	58%	0.35	2	-0.08	9	100%	0.06
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	9	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.2	14.6	28.5	2.2	30.6	2.7	12.7	145.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.8%

DAL -0.1%

POR +6.5%

DAL -1.9%

DAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	14.3	105.4	108.0	109.3
season	14.7	14.9		108.5	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.1		109.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	15.1	15.3	13.2	13.0	13.3	14.1
POR	13.1	12.4	15.0	17.7	12.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-3	3	14.2	14.0	0.24	14.6	14.2	0.48
Dorian Finney-Smith	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-3	3	14.2	14.0	0.24	14.6	14.2	0.48
Dwight Powell	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-2	1	14.6	13.8	0.85	14.6	14.1	0.50
Devin Harris	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	14.3	14.0	0.32	14.9	14.0	0.84
J.J. Barea	43	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-2	1	14.4	13.9	0.59	14.2	14.4	-0.12
Wesley Matthews	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.0	14.3	-0.32	14.0	14.9	-0.84
Jalen Brunson	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-1	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.59	14.4	14.2	0.12
DeAndre Jordan	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-1	-1	13.8	14.6	-0.85	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Harrison Barnes	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.24	14.2	14.6	-0.48
Luka Doncic	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.24	14.2	14.6	-0.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	59	62	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.64	18	-15	33	13.6	15.1	-1.52	14.5	13.5	0.98
Maurice Harkless	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-4	11	13.5	15.1	-1.66	14.2	14.0	0.20
Al-Farouq Aminu	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	14.2	14.6	-0.48	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Damian Lillard	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	3	-3	13.9	15.5	-1.63	13.6	15.5	-1.85
CJ McCollum	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	1	1	14.1	14.6	-0.49	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Zach Collins	38	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	0	3	14.9	14.0	0.84	14.6	13.8	0.85
Nik Stauskas	28	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	15.5	13.9	1.63	15.0	13.8	1.19
Seth Curry	46	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	10	-17	15.2	13.7	1.57	13.5	14.5	-0.95
Meyers Leonard	49	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	16	-29	15.2	13.6	1.59	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Evan Turner	52	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.26	-1	4	-5	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.4	13.8	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.69,0.5,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.97,1,1	90.3%
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	87.8%
SEA 108, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.72,1	87.7%