NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	10.2 [51]		MVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): +39.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	6.1 [250]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -20.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39	0.03	0.33	-0.03	12	63%	0.44	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0.36	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.16	0.20	0.01	20	80%	0.57	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.12	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	19	59%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	70%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.08
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.04	-0.13	-0.03	9	56%	0.05	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	6	25%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.05,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.35	0.35	0.05	0.30	-0.01	14	58%	0.35	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.15	-0.01	15	62%	0.22	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.09
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	78%	0.14	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	20	55%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	23.5	15.4	24.8	2.0	37.5	1.7	19.8	150.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -41.1%

POR +17.3%

POR +14.6%

POR +46.2%

POR +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	17.4	15.7	112.5	119.8	100.5
season	15.6	17.1		105.0	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	15.2	16.3	15.6	14.9	17.3	15.7
POR	16.1	16.4	18.7	20.4	14.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-6	5	14.8	16.2	-1.39	18.6	16.8	1.77
Vitaly Potapenko	74	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	15.5	16.4	-0.95	18.5	14.1	4.42
Antonio Daniels	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.8	18.0	-2.13
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	16.3	15.3	1.01	16.5	18.0	-1.56
Ray Allen	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.50	7	-14	21	15.7	15.4	0.32	18.5	12.9	5.54
Calvin Booth	22	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.5	0.95	14.1	18.5	-4.42
Ronald Murray	55	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	0	-7	14.8	16.8	-1.97	16.5	18.7	-2.18
Rashard Lewis	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.7	15.5	0.17	17.4	17.7	-0.34
Brent Barry	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	16.1	13.9	2.16	17.5	17.1	0.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	89	88	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-9	25	17.5	16.4	1.10	15.7	15.2	0.47
Darius Miles	56	57	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-2	11	16.7	18.4	-1.72	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Theo Ratliff	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	1	5	18.1	15.3	2.88	15.7	15.7	-0.10
Derek Anderson	82	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	17.7	16.0	1.70	15.7	15.7	0.01
Zach Randolph	81	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	8	-9	17.8	15.8	1.95	15.7	15.7	-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	1	5	16.6	17.9	-1.33	16.2	15.4	0.83
Ruben Patterson	59	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	16.8	18.4	-1.60	16.1	15.0	1.06
Eddie Gill	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	14	-21	18.2	17.4	0.79	14.4	15.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.23,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.84,1	89.6%
SAC 96, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.97,1,1	88.7%
DET 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	88.4%