NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	9.5 [99]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +34.2%
Miami Heat	108		Comeback	4.8 [329]		LVP	Matt Barnes (SAC): -20.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.01	24	56%	0.29	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.07	-0.14	0.01	16	60%	0.34	4	-0.42	18	78%	0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.10	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	17	49%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.00	11	79%	0.38	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.05	14	71%	0.20	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	14	57%	0.05	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	13	47%	0.11	5	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03
Justise Winslow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	15	28%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	34.7	12.6	24.8	2.0	42.1	2.6	14.0	159.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +54.5%

SAC -16.3%

SAC -11.5%

MIA +8.3%

MIA +15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIA	NBA	SAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.8	90.6	104.9	107.7
season	15.4	15.4		106.0	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		105.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	14.7	17.9	14.8	14.8	14.9	15.5
MIA	14.1	14.0	14.5	15.8	18.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	41	36	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-12	12	13.8	16.5	-2.68	16.2	14.3	1.95
Anthony Tolliver	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	14.0	16.0	-1.97	16.3	14.5	1.87
Ben McLemore	36	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.9	-1.26	16.4	14.3	2.12
Ty Lawson	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-7	2	15.2	16.2	-1.07	14.8	15.2	-0.40
DeMarcus Cousins	69	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-9	6	16.7	13.2	3.42	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Arron Afflalo	82	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-8	4	15.5	15.5	-0.04	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Matt Barnes	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	0	-12	16.7	14.5	2.25	13.5	16.1	-2.54
Rudy Gay	85	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.0	13.4	2.61	14.7	16.0	-1.38
Garrett Temple	59	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	0	-12	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.0	14.8	0.19

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	53	54	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-4	20	14.8	15.1	-0.21	16.1	14.8	1.34
Goran Dragic	81	83	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	3	6	14.7	15.8	-1.04	15.4	15.7	-0.23
Luke Babbitt	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	7	-2	13.4	16.3	-2.87	16.8	14.4	2.36
James Johnson	34	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	7	-2	15.6	14.6	1.04	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Justise Winslow	79	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	4	4	14.7	15.8	-1.10	15.9	14.0	1.87
Tyler Johnson	61	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	8	-4	16.1	13.3	2.85	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Willie Reed	18	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	9	-6	14.6	15.0	-0.48	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Rodney McGruder	25	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	11	-10	16.4	14.5	1.97	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Dion Waiters	74	77	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	8	-4	14.3	16.7	-2.47	15.7	14.9	0.79
Udonis Haslem	32	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	19	-26	15.3	14.8	0.57	15.0	15.7	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 118, POR 121	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.69,0.5,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.91,1	90.3%
HOU 106, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,1	89.8%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	89.3%