NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	10.5 [38]		MVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): +4.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.6 [739]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -59.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Amal McCaskill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	6	67%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	9	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.24	-0.04	-0.20	0.00	5	30%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.36,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.47	-0.17	-0.32	-0.02	15	32%	-0.42	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.59	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.39,-0.39,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.59,-0.59	-0.31	-0.31	-0.03	29	30%	-0.35	5	-0.24	6	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	7	21%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	19	52%	-0.10	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	0.07	-0.35	0.02	19	65%	-0.09	3	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31	-0.31	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	16	25%	-0.17	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	28.5	14.7	25.3	2.4	30.4	2.5	17.1	148.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +81.6%

PHI -17.2%

CLE +37.2%

PHI -59.9%

CLE +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.7	87.1	91.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		96.7	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.8	16.7	18.3	16.0	16.1	16.7
CLE	13.0	14.6	13.5	18.2	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	57	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	4	-11	17.4	15.7	1.62	14.1	16.0	-1.95
Amal McCaskill	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	2	-7	18.5	15.8	2.66	15.4	14.8	0.64
Kyle Korver	17	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	14.8	17.0	-2.28	11.8	15.7	-3.89
Aaron McKie	79	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-10	17	16.2	18.5	-2.29	15.0	14.8	0.20
Willie Green	22	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	3	-9	17.0	16.6	0.43	14.4	15.1	-0.65
John Salmons	41	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	17.5	16.1	1.43	15.9	14.3	1.53
Allen Iverson	89	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	16.6	16.9	-0.29	15.1	13.9	1.20
Marc Jackson	83	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-1	-1	16.3	18.4	-2.17	15.3	13.2	2.09
Eric Snow	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-2	1	16.2	18.7	-2.46	15.2	13.7	1.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	68	69	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.56	10	-7	17	14.6	15.8	-1.19	16.9	16.2	0.74
LeBron James	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-5	13	14.9	15.2	-0.28	16.1	21.8	-5.70
Ricky Davis	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.41	-2	5	-7	14.3	16.2	-1.96	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Darius Miles	80	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.7	16.4	0.36
Chris Mihm	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.14	3	0	3	14.5	15.3	-0.81	17.3	16.3	1.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	84	85	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	1	1	15.6	11.8	3.76	16.5	17.4	-0.85
J.R. Bremer	22	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	14.2	15.2	-0.95	17.0	16.6	0.45
Kevin Ollie	48	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	16.5	13.5	3.02	16.6	16.7	-0.17
Jason Kapono	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	12.5	15.1	-2.63	21.3	16.4	4.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 88, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.85,0.98,1	90.7%
HOU 96, NOH 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.76,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.63,0.68,0.95,1	90.6%
MIN 100, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.28,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.78,0.84,1	90.2%