NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	88		Excitement	9.2 [123]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +13.6%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	2.5 [568]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -43.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	14	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	-0.04	0.16	0.03	15	46%	0.14	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	10	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	0.02	-0.01	9	30%	0.16	5	-0.29	2	100%	0.05
Anthony Davis	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.43,-0.43	-0.06	-0.33	0.04	29	48%	-0.26	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	56%	0.19	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	25	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.13	0.10	-0.04	10	30%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.06	0.04	20	39%	-0.14	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	31.1	16.6	25.2	3.5	36.3	2.6	15.3	158.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.3%

NOP -9.6%

NOP -5.5%

MIA +30.6%

MIA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIA	NBA	NOP	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.9	83.0	87.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.5		104.3	104.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	14.3	13.4	16.5	15.6	12.4	14.6
MIA	12.4	15.4	16.3	16.3	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	57	55	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-4	2	14.1	15.2	-1.10	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Dante Cunningham	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-8	10	12.5	14.9	-2.33	16.5	14.9	1.59
Omer Asik	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Ryan Anderson	73	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-8	10	14.2	15.5	-1.24	15.4	14.4	0.98
Alonzo Gee	37	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	8	-22	15.6	14.1	1.52	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Eric Gordon	84	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-5	4	15.0	13.0	2.00	15.4	14.0	1.42
Tyreke Evans	70	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-5	4	14.6	14.6	-0.01	15.1	15.1	0.04
Norris Cole	60	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.2	15.2	-1.07	15.8	14.1	1.77
Anthony Davis	102	103	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	14.7	13.2	1.44	14.9	19.0	-4.11

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	56	53	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-7	20	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Chris Bosh	87	85	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.37	13	-7	20	14.8	16.4	-1.61	15.0	13.2	1.80
Luol Deng	90	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	15.0	15.7	-0.77	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Dwyane Wade	75	74	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	9	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Goran Dragic	70	72	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	-3	12	14.7	15.9	-1.21	15.0	13.9	1.15
Udonis Haslem	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	16.5	14.9	1.61	17.1	14.2	2.91
Hassan Whiteside	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	5	-4	15.2	14.9	0.30	14.8	14.5	0.36
Beno Udrih	26	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	13	-20	16.4	14.7	1.76	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Justise Winslow	61	59	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	15.4	14.6	0.79	14.1	15.4	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	90.7%
CHI 102, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	89.8%
CHI 83, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.97,1	88.9%