NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	10.8 [53]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +71.7%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	8.9 [188]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (ATL): -28.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.38	0.11	0.27	-0.00	19	62%	0.41	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.16	0.01	7	62%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Glen Rice Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Kevin Seraphin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.18,-0.16,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.20	0.04	-0.05	22	30%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.02	10	60%	0.05	4	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.72	0.72	0.17	0.58	0.03	23	67%	0.77	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.12
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.02	13	62%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.00	17	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.07
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.23,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	11	46%	0.09	3	-0.23	4	75%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	0.00	9	20%	-0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	26.1	15.7	29.0	1.7	29.5	0.8	14.3	142.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -3.6%

ATL +30.9%

WAS -3.9%

ATL +15.3%

ATL +11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.1	92.5	96.2	105.2
season	15.1	14.8		103.8	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	13.6	17.2	16.6	14.1	13.1	15.1
ATL	14.7	12.7	15.4	17.2	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	74	75	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.18	2	-4	6	15.0	15.5	-0.53	14.9	14.7	0.20
Otto Porter	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-5	8	17.5	14.2	3.26	14.2	15.2	-0.99
Jan Vesely	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.9	0.64	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Kevin Seraphin	13	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	1	-4	14.3	15.2	-0.93	15.5	14.8	0.70
Glen Rice Jr.	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	16.9	14.2	2.66	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Trevor Booker	88	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-4	6	15.5	13.4	2.07	15.0	14.3	0.72
Trevor Ariza	68	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-3	4	14.1	16.9	-2.79	15.2	14.4	0.74
John Wall	77	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-1	0	14.2	17.6	-3.40	15.2	14.0	1.18
Martell Webster	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	3	-8	14.2	17.9	-3.75	15.0	14.4	0.65
Garrett Temple	31	30	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.61	-5	3	-8	17.0	14.4	2.64	14.0	15.2	-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	23	26	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-7	16	14.7	14.9	-0.23	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Paul Millsap	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-4	10	14.8	15.2	-0.37	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Kyle Korver	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-4	10	15.2	14.0	1.13	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Pero Antic	25	27	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.3	15.0	0.28
Al Horford	81	81	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	5	-8	15.1	14.2	0.87	15.3	14.5	0.87
Jeff Teague	78	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-5	12	15.1	14.2	0.93	15.6	13.9	1.66
Louis Williams	46	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	13.8	15.7	-1.83	15.3	15.0	0.31
Cartier Martin	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	3.0	15.0	-11.99	5.0	15.2	-10.22
DeMarre Carroll	54	54	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	13	-24	15.4	14.3	1.06	15.4	14.8	0.54
Shelvin Mack	59	59	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	5	-8	14.5	15.3	-0.84	15.2	15.1	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.23,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 108, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.72,1	89.6%
MIA 119, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.04,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	89.1%
NJN 114, MIL 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.59,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.92,1	88.1%