NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	126		Excitement	9.0 [181]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +35.5%
Charlotte Hornets	124		Comeback	41.5 [10]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -54.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kornet	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3	0.08	0.25	0.02	8	72%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.15	0.16	0.05	0.06	21	71%	0.37	3	-0.22	6	83%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	12	48%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	6	38%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	13	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.09
Mitchell Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Frank Ntilikina	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	0.08	-0.10	0.06	15	56%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.09

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.21	0.01	12	77%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.3,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.18	0.02	14	75%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	10	91%	0.29	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.23	-0.01	21	37%	-0.25	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.54	-0.54	-0.10	-0.43	0.01	20	40%	-0.44	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.7	15.0	23.2	2.6	33.4	2.0	15.0	144.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.4%

CHA -10.4%

NYK +7.1%

CHA -3.0%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	14.3	114.5	113.8	109.3
season	14.5	14.6		103.8	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.6	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.6	12.4	15.7	12.7	11.6	13.6
CHA	13.1	12.8	17.8	17.9	18.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	50	49	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.36	19	-17	36	12.4	14.5	-2.19	16.6	14.6	1.92
Emmanuel Mudiay	82	81	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-11	24	13.5	13.9	-0.41	16.5	12.6	3.93
Noah Vonleh	87	84	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-6	14	13.4	14.0	-0.62	16.0	13.9	2.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.54	-8	10	-18	14.3	12.3	1.98	16.2	14.2	2.01
Kevin Knox	87	87	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.52	-9	11	-20	13.7	12.9	0.87	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Mario Hezonja	27	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	-5	12	12.8	13.8	-0.98	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Courtney Lee	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-2	6	12.9	14.1	-1.18	14.6	16.2	-1.60
Mitchell Robinson	16	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	3	-4	14.0	13.5	0.52	12.9	16.0	-3.06
Frank Ntilikina	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	10	-18	14.0	13.4	0.59	13.4	16.4	-2.96
Enes Kanter	51	50	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	17	-32	14.4	12.8	1.60	14.9	16.0	-1.06

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	34	31	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.17	5	-7	12	14.6	15.9	-1.36	15.1	12.9	2.15
Malik Monk	27	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	5	-12	13.7	16.1	-2.38	12.6	13.9	-1.22
Miles Bridges	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.14	-7	5	-12	13.7	16.0	-2.29	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Nicolas Batum	77	79	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.44	12	-14	26	15.8	14.8	0.92	13.8	12.8	1.04
Frank Kaminsky	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	8	-18	13.7	16.3	-2.58	13.4	13.6	-0.29
Tony Parker	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	8	-18	14.2	16.3	-2.16	12.1	14.4	-2.32
Cody Zeller	73	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.68	10	-12	22	16.4	13.7	2.73	13.6	13.4	0.29
Jeremy Lamb	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.63	6	-8	14	16.0	14.2	1.85	14.0	12.4	1.61
Kemba Walker	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-2	2	16.5	12.6	3.96	14.0	12.3	1.77
Marvin Williams	76	79	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.48	-9	7	-16	15.9	14.7	1.19	12.9	15.1	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.61,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 117, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.45,0.68,0.77,0.46,0.26,0.11,0.16,0.09,0	90.1%
MEM 128, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0	88.5%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	87.6%