NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	5.9 [675]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +16.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.0 [1129]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -17.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Shelvin Mack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	14	39%	-0.08	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	17	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	37%	-0.05
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.01	17	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	13	44%	0.03	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	44%	0.00	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	26.6	15.3	25.7	2.4	38.5	137.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.7%

MEM -8.5%

PHI +10.9%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	14.3	94.1	100.0	109.3
season	15.4	14.0		105.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		108.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	15.2	16.0	14.0	14.8
PHI	11.6	13.6	14.7	14.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	55	51	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-14	20	13.5	16.3	-2.76	14.2	12.7	1.45
Ivan Rabb	11	9	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-9	10	14.9	14.8	0.12	13.7	13.4	0.24
Omri Casspi	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	15.0	14.7	0.23	15.6	12.6	2.99
MarShon Brooks	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-12	16	14.0	15.4	-1.33	14.1	13.0	1.07
Mike Conley	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	14.7	15.1	-0.42	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Kyle Anderson	58	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	15.4	14.0	1.48	13.2	13.7	-0.47
Jaren Jackson Jr.	46	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	15.7	14.0	1.72	13.2	13.7	-0.44
Shelvin Mack	45	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.6	0.56	12.8	13.9	-1.14
Garrett Temple	66	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	14.7	14.9	-0.17	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Marc Gasol	80	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	4	-16	15.0	14.1	0.89	13.1	15.2	-2.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	67	66	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-8	24	13.2	13.8	-0.59	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Joel Embiid	82	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-5	18	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.9	14.3	0.59
Jimmy Butler	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	1	6	13.1	14.3	-1.25	15.0	14.3	0.78
JJ Redick	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	-2	12	12.7	14.6	-1.88	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Ben Simmons	82	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	3	2	13.3	14.0	-0.64	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Landry Shamet	39	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	10	-12	14.6	12.7	1.88	15.3	14.5	0.78
Furkan Korkmaz	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	14.3	13.1	1.25	14.3	15.0	-0.78
Amir Johnson	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	13	-18	13.6	13.4	0.22	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Mike Muscala	57	58	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	13	-18	13.9	12.9	0.96	15.1	14.5	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	94.4%
GSW 96, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
LAC 97, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.2%