NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.7 [522]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +18.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.2 [803]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): -3.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	19	49%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.06	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	7	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.03	10	61%	0.16	3	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	12	71%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	20	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	33.2	15.4	24.3	2.5	45.4	150.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.0%

POR +15.7%

LAC -6.8%

POR +1.0%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.6	110.2	118.0	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		106.0	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	18.1	21.1	14.8	17.1
POR	15.9	12.7	17.9	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	18	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-11	14	18.2	16.9	1.31	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Reggie Evans	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-12	16	17.4	17.0	0.44	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Randy Foye	17	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	18.6	16.8	1.89	11.6	16.5	-4.83
Brian Cook	11	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	6	-20	17.3	17.1	0.17	9.1	16.3	-7.23
Mo Williams	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	17.6	16.5	1.15	13.8	17.5	-3.71
Blake Griffin	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	16.6	19.1	-2.53	15.7	14.2	1.58
Chauncey Billups	61	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	16.2	19.1	-2.87	15.6	15.0	0.64
DeAndre Jordan	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	17.1	17.2	-0.06	16.6	13.1	3.46
Caron Butler	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-4	0	17.5	15.9	1.57	16.4	12.1	4.23
Chris Paul	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	16.9	17.5	-0.55	17.1	12.6	4.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-8	24	15.5	15.1	0.35	17.5	15.1	2.48
Gerald Wallace	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	16.3	13.3	2.99	17.5	16.2	1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.9	17.6	-0.76
Raymond Felton	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.26	3	5	-2	16.0	13.5	2.48	15.8	21.8	-6.02
Marcus Camby	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	16.5	12.9	3.59	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Nicolas Batum	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	12.4	17.3	-4.97	16.6	17.4	-0.78
Kurt Thomas	28	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	13.9	16.1	-2.24	18.3	16.6	1.68
Jamal Crawford	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	9	-10	13.9	16.4	-2.54	18.4	16.3	2.16
Craig Smith	19	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	15.8	15.3	0.46	17.1	17.1	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%
MIN 105, MIA 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MEM 95, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.84,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1	93.6%