NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	5.7 [666]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +15.9%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.0 [1005]		LVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): -18.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Adam Keefe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	75%	0.18	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Bill Curley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Coker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	18	47%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	15	38%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Vonteego Cummings	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	9	11%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	10	83%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	9	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	14	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	90%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andy Panko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	60%	0.11	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	17	47%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	23.5	24.3	27.4	2.3	26.7	127.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.5%

ATL +5.8%

GSW -13.2%

ATL +14.0%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.5	99.0	111.5	100.9
season	15.0	15.4		95.3	96.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		101.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.1	15.6	14.2	15.6	14.6
ATL	15.7	15.0	14.1	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-14	17	15.4	14.1	1.33	15.2	15.3	-0.07
John Coker	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-6	1	15.3	14.5	0.83	13.2	15.5	-2.20
Bob Sura	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-10	9	14.5	14.7	-0.20	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-8	5	13.7	17.9	-4.25	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Bill Curley	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-4	-3	14.4	14.7	-0.28	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Vinny Del Negro	28	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-2	-7	15.0	14.4	0.54	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Chris Mullin	37	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-1	-9	14.4	14.7	-0.28	16.0	14.8	1.14
Antawn Jamison	88	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	14.5	15.6	-1.08	15.3	15.4	-0.19
Vonteego Cummings	29	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	16.7	13.7	3.01	15.6	15.1	0.50
Marc Jackson	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.4	14.8	0.57

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	15.2	15.4	-0.19	15.0	13.7	1.23
Lorenzen Wright	76	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-2	15	15.6	14.1	1.48	14.7	14.2	0.41
Jason Terry	74	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	7	-3	14.9	16.4	-1.48	14.8	13.9	0.86
Brevin Knight	68	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	4	3	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Matt Maloney	48	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	15.9	14.7	1.21	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Dikembe Mutombo	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	15.7	14.3	1.36	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Alan Henderson	34	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	8	-5	14.1	15.9	-1.83	15.0	14.3	0.63
Dion Glover	24	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	7	-3	16.0	15.0	0.92	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Hanno Mottola	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.85	14.8	14.5	0.22
Andy Panko	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	17.0	15.3	1.75	16.0	14.6	1.44
DerMarr Johnson	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	13.3	15.4	-2.14	13.3	14.7	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIA 91, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
WAS 74, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%