NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	74		Excitement	5.8 [668]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +9.6%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.1 [1152]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -14.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.07
Caron Butler	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	4	45%	-0.01	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	18	35%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	12	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.07	16	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.09	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	31.5	16.7	26.8	1.8	33.0	138.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.5%

DET +1.1%

WAS -9.1%

DET +1.5%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.5	86.0	100.0	106.4
season	15.9	16.9		103.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.9	17.7	16.5	17.0	17.3
DET	15.7	15.0	16.2	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-12	10	18.5	17.2	1.27	18.0	15.7	2.27
Andray Blatche	63	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	16.7	19.0	-2.39	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Mike James	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-11	8	16.8	18.4	-1.63	16.0	15.6	0.41
DeShawn Stevenson	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	16.8	18.4	-1.63	16.0	15.6	0.41
Dominic McGuire	21	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-13	12	18.2	17.0	1.25	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Darius Songaila	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-12	10	16.9	17.5	-0.66	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Nick Young	27	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	18.4	16.8	1.63	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Caron Butler	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	0	-14	17.3	17.3	-0.02	16.4	14.4	2.05
Juan Dixon	27	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	18.4	16.8	1.63	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Antawn Jamison	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.05	-18	4	-22	17.7	14.6	3.04	15.7	16.4	-0.65

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	77	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-6	26	15.8	16.0	-0.19	17.1	19.1	-2.05
Antonio McDyess	56	54	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	1	12	15.6	16.3	-0.71	16.7	18.2	-1.48
Tayshaun Prince	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	1	12	15.8	16.7	-0.90	17.0	20.5	-3.45
Jason Maxiell	23	24	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	8	-2	15.1	16.1	-0.95	18.9	16.7	2.26
Rodney Stuckey	67	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	7	0	16.3	14.4	1.90	18.1	14.8	3.35
Rasheed Wallace	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	2	10	16.2	15.2	0.98	16.4	19.0	-2.58
Richard Hamilton	59	57	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	13	-12	16.1	15.3	0.72	17.6	16.6	1.06
Arron Afflalo	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	16	-18	14.3	16.2	-1.90	17.5	17.2	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.7%
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MIL 103, WAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%