NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	119		Excitement	5.0 [844]		MVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): +27.9%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	1.0 [644]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -7.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.08	-0.02	13	86%	0.30	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.04	-0.05	22	61%	0.19	3	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.02	18	62%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	17	54%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	17	54%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	21.6	15.3	24.4	2.4	27.3	116.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +57.7%

UTA +4.4%

CHA -5.0%

CHA -6.9%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	14.3	121.4	114.4	109.3
season	14.3	14.6		109.3	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.4	16.2	15.3	16.2	15.0
CHA	15.3	15.8	14.7	12.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-4	16	15.3	14.7	0.57	14.1	15.1	-1.03
Rudy Gobert	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-3	14	14.1	18.7	-4.52	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Ricky Rubio	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-5	18	13.9	17.7	-3.78	14.4	15.0	-0.62
Jae Crowder	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	14.8	15.4	-0.55	14.7	14.2	0.58
Donovan Mitchell	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	2	4	15.2	14.4	0.79	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Kyle Korver	41	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	16.3	14.1	2.22	15.2	14.1	1.09
Derrick Favors	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Raul Neto	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	15.1	15.0	0.17	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Royce O'Neale	50	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	16	-24	14.7	15.2	-0.53	15.2	13.9	1.33
Thabo Sefolosha	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	11	-14	24.2	14.5	9.72	15.2	14.5	0.68

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	30	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-15	22	15.3	14.2	1.08	17.7	13.9	3.80
Devonte' Graham	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	5.5	14.7	-9.25	18.0	14.9	3.08
Malik Monk	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-7	6	14.1	14.6	-0.53	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Cody Zeller	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.4	0.76	12.2	15.5	-3.34
Marvin Williams	67	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-9	10	14.2	15.4	-1.17	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Tony Parker	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-10	12	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.6	13.8	1.86
Frank Kaminsky	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	1	-10	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.1	14.9	0.12
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	15.8	13.5	2.33	14.5	15.4	-0.82
Jeremy Lamb	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.4	15.2	-0.81	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Nicolas Batum	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	13.7	16.3	-2.57	15.5	14.0	1.52
Kemba Walker	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	9	-26	14.8	13.6	1.20	14.3	17.5	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.09,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
POR 112, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
SAC 112, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%