NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	5.9 [598]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +16.2%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.0 [619]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.03	24	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	76%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.02	14	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.05
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	54%	0.07	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	8	19%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	11%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	14	70%	0.11	7	-0.21	15	60%	-0.06
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	20	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	18	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.6	30.8	15.8	27.2	1.8	34.4	137.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.7%

POR +11.5%

HOU -11.6%

POR +14.0%

HOU -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.6	119.1	104.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		105.2	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		103.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	15.0	15.1	17.3	15.5
HOU	15.7	17.7	14.9	13.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	75	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.02	21	-5	26	15.6	15.0	0.59	14.6	19.2	-4.63
Arvydas Sabonis	70	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-5	26	15.2	16.3	-1.16	14.9	17.2	-2.25
Clifford Robinson	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-3	22	16.1	10.0	6.12	15.7	13.3	2.40
Kenny Anderson	85	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-1	18	15.6	14.0	1.62	15.7	13.6	2.13
Gary Trent	87	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	0	16	15.3	17.7	-2.43	15.3	17.9	-2.60
Jermaine O'Neal	6	5	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	12	-8	11.7	15.7	-4.06	17.6	15.4	2.22
Randolph Childress	5	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	17	-18	18.4	15.3	3.10	17.0	15.4	1.60
Mitchell Butler	5	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	17	-18	18.4	15.3	3.10	17.0	15.4	1.60
Dontonio Wingfield	1	0	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	19	-22	0.0	15.6	-15.63	0.0	15.5	-15.50
Chris Dudley	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	24	-32	15.7	15.4	0.27	16.2	15.2	0.99
Aaron McKie	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	21	-26	13.9	16.0	-2.12	17.3	14.9	2.33

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	17	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.14	-2	-14	12	13.8	15.9	-2.06	13.4	15.9	-2.58
Tracy Moore	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	10.0	15.8	-5.82	10.4	15.8	-5.35
Othella Harrington	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-13	10	11.7	15.9	-4.11	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Sam Mack	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-16	16	15.0	15.6	-0.59	18.9	14.4	4.49
Randy Livingston	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-16	16	15.7	15.4	0.31	16.5	14.9	1.57
Matt Bullard	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-14	12	15.0	15.9	-0.90	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Mario Elie	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-10	4	16.7	14.5	2.16	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Kevin Willis	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-13	10	15.0	15.7	-0.72	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-5	-6	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.4	12.6	3.84
Matt Maloney	56	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	1	-18	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.9	16.5	-1.62
Clyde Drexler	66	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.05	-21	5	-26	15.9	14.4	1.50	14.8	17.1	-2.28
Charles Barkley	78	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.19	-13	-3	-10	16.1	12.4	3.62	15.9	12.9	3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, PHX 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
UTA 119, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
NJN 104, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	93.7%