NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	5.6 [658]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +23.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.2 [829]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -13.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	20	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.02	10	95%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	112%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	3	58%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	51%	-0.05	3	-0.08	13	85%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	14	40%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	23.6	15.6	29.2	1.5	30.6	127.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +2.1%

NJN +4.4%

NJN +16.6%

NJN +24.7%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.5	113.0	103.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		106.5	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.1	17.1	13.9	16.5	15.1
MIL	16.2	17.2	16.7	14.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-11	30	14.2	18.0	-3.89	16.1	15.8	0.29
Lucious Harris	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-6	20	14.7	16.9	-2.16	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Jason Collins	45	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-10	28	13.5	16.6	-3.08	17.7	14.5	3.15
Jason Kidd	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	5	-2	14.8	16.9	-2.09	16.3	15.0	1.26
Richard Jefferson	69	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	15.1	15.0	0.06	16.4	14.9	1.52
Rodney Rogers	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	12	-16	16.7	13.1	3.58	15.0	17.4	-2.40
Anthony Johnson	30	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	9	-10	16.9	14.2	2.64	16.0	16.1	-0.02
Aaron Williams	42	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.40	-13	21	-34	16.4	14.0	2.34	14.9	17.1	-2.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	37	36	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.23	13	-21	34	16.1	16.0	0.11	16.2	14.4	1.87
Marcus Haislip	44	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-13	18	16.2	15.9	0.26	15.8	14.5	1.31
Ray Allen	63	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.25	5	-13	18	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Ervin Johnson	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-6	4	16.4	15.7	0.74	16.4	13.7	2.70
Michael Redd	58	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-13	18	15.0	17.7	-2.68	16.1	13.4	2.70
Joel Przybilla	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	8	-24	18.2	15.5	2.63	12.6	15.7	-3.16
Anthony Mason	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	4	-16	15.9	16.6	-0.73	14.4	17.1	-2.76
Tim Thomas	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.09	-18	10	-28	16.1	15.8	0.39	14.7	16.2	-1.46
Sam Cassell	64	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	12	-32	15.8	16.5	-0.69	14.1	17.2	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	94.0%
DAL 102, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.16,0,0	93.8%
POR 112, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%