NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	112		Excitement	5.4 [740]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +12.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	1.0 [1168]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -9.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	5	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.01	0.05	22	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	36%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	15	39%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	11	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	33.0	15.4	27.5	2.4	31.3	136.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +51.2%

LAL -10.6%

SAC +9.1%

SAC +0.9%

LAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.9	114.3	94.9	105.1
season	13.9	15.2		104.8	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	12.6	13.4	17.2	13.8
LAL	15.1	16.2	15.4	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	71	69	0.77	-0.27	1.05	-0.16	32	-13	45	13.3	15.2	-1.94	16.0	14.6	1.45
DeMarcus Cousins	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.13	26	-7	33	13.5	14.8	-1.33	15.9	14.8	1.09
Omri Casspi	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-1	21	14.1	13.3	0.76	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Rudy Gay	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-2	23	13.3	15.0	-1.75	16.0	14.7	1.26
Ben McLemore	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	17	-15	12.7	14.5	-1.82	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Willie Cauley-Stein	60	60	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	20	-21	14.3	13.1	1.20	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Kosta Koufos	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	21	-23	14.3	13.6	0.71	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Seth Curry	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	16.0	13.7	2.28	15.2	15.6	-0.34
James Anderson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	16.0	13.7	2.28	15.2	15.6	-0.34
Quincy Acy	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	16.0	13.7	2.28	17.3	15.5	1.82
Marco Belinelli	39	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	22	-25	13.9	13.7	0.22	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Darren Collison	41	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	18	-17	15.1	12.9	2.20	15.1	15.9	-0.81

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcelo Huertas	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.0	13.7	2.28
Robert Sacre	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.0	13.7	2.28
Roy Hibbert	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-14	9	15.6	15.6	0.03	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Ryan Kelly	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-14	9	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.6	13.4	1.21
Kobe Bryant	64	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-6	-7	16.0	14.7	1.28	13.1	15.0	-1.89
Jordan Clarkson	71	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-10	1	16.0	14.4	1.66	14.1	13.1	0.99
D'Angelo Russell	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-8	-3	15.8	15.2	0.60	13.5	14.2	-0.79
Anthony Brown	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-13	7	14.7	16.0	-1.28	15.0	13.1	1.89
Julius Randle	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-5	-9	15.9	14.9	1.02	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Brandon Bass	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-4	-11	15.6	15.6	0.03	14.6	12.7	1.84
Lou Williams	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	0	-19	14.9	17.1	-2.20	13.7	14.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	94.7%
IND 99, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 99, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%