NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	4.6 [864]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.1 [311]		LVP	Bison Dele (DET): -13.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	15	68%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	11	36%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	58%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	47%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	18	59%	0.05	8	-0.16	13	85%	0.02
Bison Dele	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	15	31%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	31.3	15.6	27.2	1.5	23.7	125.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.2%

IND +11.8%

IND +5.6%

IND +6.1%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	13.9	15.6	106.5	90.6	102.5
season	16.0	15.9		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.9	16.1		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	17.0	15.9	17.1	16.6
DET	13.8	14.3	15.4	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	56	59	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.07	14	-2	16	15.9	17.7	-1.85	14.5	13.1	1.42
Dale Davis	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	16.5	17.1	-0.65	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Reggie Miller	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	0	12	15.9	17.1	-1.23	14.8	13.2	1.61
Travis Best	51	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	16.9	16.2	0.64	12.5	15.8	-3.28
Fred Hoiberg	57	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	8	-4	17.0	15.9	1.10	12.8	15.9	-3.13
Chris Mullin	45	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	6	0	16.0	17.1	-1.10	15.5	12.5	2.98
Mark Jackson	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	4	4	16.2	16.9	-0.64	15.8	12.5	3.28
Jalen Rose	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	17.3	16.0	1.28	13.0	14.7	-1.67
Rik Smits	56	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	17.5	15.2	2.28	13.8	14.2	-0.43

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.20	9	-21	30	13.0	14.4	-1.37	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Rick Mahorn	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-12	12	15.8	13.6	2.18	17.1	16.5	0.56
Jerome Williams	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-12	12	14.9	13.8	1.13	16.8	16.6	0.26
Aaron McKie	40	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-11	10	12.0	15.3	-3.26	16.8	16.5	0.29
Theo Ratliff	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-2	-8	12.1	15.0	-2.86	17.3	16.2	1.06
Grant Long	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	16.4	13.1	3.34	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Bison Dele	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	14.0	13.6	0.40	16.6	16.6	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	87	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	13.6	17.0	-3.39	16.4	18.4	-2.05
Malik Sealy	80	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	14.7	9.9	4.79	16.7	16.1	0.61
Grant Hill	83	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	3	-18	14.2	11.9	2.32	16.6	16.5	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%
SEA 87, SAS 75	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIN 100, BKN 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%