NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	4.4 [896]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +11.9%
San Antonio Spurs	75		Comeback	1.0 [614]		LVP	Dominique Wilkins (SAS): -21.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.02	10	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate McMillan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Ehlo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Gary Payton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	19	35%	-0.11	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	48%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	2	83%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	11	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	10	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	14	36%	-0.10	5	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	31.0	15.8	25.4	1.7	30.3	132.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +7.5%

SEA +17.4%

SEA +13.1%

SEA +15.9%

SAS -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	17.8	15.6	101.2	87.2	104.4
season	14.9	16.8		108.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.2		109.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.5	18.7	13.7	16.3	15.7
SAS	18.2	15.6	17.7	19.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-8	28	15.3	17.0	-1.61	18.7	14.6	4.11
Shawn Kemp	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	15.2	16.9	-1.63	18.6	16.0	2.60
Sam Perkins	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	17.6	13.8	3.79	16.4	19.1	-2.67
Detlef Schrempf	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	16.4	13.5	2.84	17.6	18.4	-0.84
Hersey Hawkins	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	6	0	14.8	17.2	-2.44	18.3	17.0	1.27
Nate McMillan	38	39	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	6	0	17.0	14.7	2.22	16.5	18.8	-2.32
Craig Ehlo	44	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	1	10	17.0	14.5	2.50	17.0	18.6	-1.59
Jim McIlvaine	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	11	-10	12.8	17.4	-4.52	19.5	16.8	2.70
David Wingate	26	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	17	-22	15.7	15.8	-0.11	17.5	17.9	-0.40
Larry Stewart	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.0	15.9	-4.90	10.0	17.9	-7.94
Eric Snow	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.0	15.9	-4.90	10.0	17.9	-7.94

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Herrera	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-9	6	14.1	18.1	-3.93	16.6	15.6	0.98
Cory Alexander	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-10	8	12.3	18.6	-6.30	13.2	16.1	-2.98
Tim Kempton	9	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	9.9	18.7	-8.79	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Monty Williams	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	17.8	17.7	0.06	17.1	15.2	1.87
Vernon Maxwell	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	16.4	19.4	-2.98	16.7	14.4	2.28
Avery Johnson	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-6	0	18.7	15.3	3.41	16.0	14.9	1.16
Vinny Del Negro	56	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	18.3	16.7	1.62	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Sean Elliott	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	18.6	14.5	4.09	16.1	14.2	1.98
Greg Anderson	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	19.7	12.2	7.43	15.1	17.3	-2.16
Dominique Wilkins	77	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	17.2	22.6	-5.36	15.4	19.1	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIN 100, BKN 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%