NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	5.6 [745]		MVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIL): +12.5%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	2.6 [208]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -19.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	3	133%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	10	68%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.06	0.04	0.05	15	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.08	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.03	13	63%	0.04	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	16	32%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	18	36%	-0.11	5	-0.08	3	100%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	4	87%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.09	0.04	12	52%	0.11	2	-0.04	16	81%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.05	11	73%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.6	15.3	28.1	1.7	38.2	134.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +41.8%

CHA +4.5%

MIL -4.3%

CHA +7.3%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.3	105.9	107.8	109.3
season	13.5	14.6		112.4	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	14.0	12.4	12.7	13.8
CHA	14.0	12.7	15.7	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.32	11	-14	25	11.8	14.3	-2.49	16.3	14.1	2.13
Tony Snell	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-2	1	17.8	13.1	4.74	13.6	14.8	-1.18
Matthew Dellavedova	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	18.7	13.2	5.57	12.0	14.9	-2.92
Brook Lopez	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.45	12	-15	27	13.5	14.1	-0.57	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Thon Maker	12	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	10	-23	16.9	13.3	3.58	12.2	14.9	-2.72
Malcolm Brogdon	76	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-7	11	13.2	15.4	-2.12	15.4	12.0	3.40
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-9	15	13.6	14.5	-0.85	14.2	16.7	-2.47
Sterling Brown	15	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	9	-21	13.9	13.7	0.12	11.4	15.2	-3.76
Pat Connaughton	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	8	-19	14.6	12.8	1.86	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Eric Bledsoe	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	4	-11	13.5	14.7	-1.20	15.1	13.0	2.11
Khris Middleton	82	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	12.9	17.4	-4.51	15.4	11.3	4.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	39	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-15	33	13.6	15.2	-1.61	12.7	14.4	-1.66
Marvin Williams	77	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	15.1	13.2	1.92	13.2	15.7	-2.51
Jeremy Lamb	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-10	23	15.1	13.2	1.95	14.3	12.3	2.05
Kemba Walker	81	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-3	9	14.8	14.0	0.77	13.7	14.0	-0.36
Tony Parker	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	4	-5	14.8	14.5	0.30	12.3	14.9	-2.58
Malik Monk	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	4	-5	13.6	15.4	-1.80	14.4	13.3	1.15
Frank Kaminsky	10	11	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-5	13	10.3	15.1	-4.78	14.9	13.6	1.29
Nicolas Batum	71	71	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.45	-15	18	-33	15.5	12.6	2.87	13.8	13.7	0.04
Cody Zeller	40	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	9	-15	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.8	12.5	3.31
Miles Bridges	26	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	14	-25	14.4	14.7	-0.30	13.4	13.9	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	94.6%
TOR 93, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NJN 92, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%