NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	3.6 [1035]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +15.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	2.4 [1127]		LVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): -8.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	16	66%	0.16	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Dee Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	17	47%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	13	60%	0.09	5	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	13	83%	0.19	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	93%	0.15	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	10	42%	0.01	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.5	2.0	26.1	14.8	28.3	2.4	28.3	151.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +26.0%

SEA +1.0%

SEA +12.9%

SEA +6.8%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	15.6	91.2	108.8	102.5
season	15.5	15.3		98.7	109.3
opponent	16.2	14.8		102.3	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.4	16.7	15.2	11.8	14.2
SEA	13.3	14.0	14.2	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	15	15	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-27	36	13.8	14.2	-0.42	13.8	14.1	-0.33
John Thomas	20	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.27	-12	-6	-6	14.9	14.0	0.92	15.1	13.8	1.35
Shawn Respert	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-18	18	10.7	15.6	-4.91	13.3	14.4	-1.06
Oliver Miller	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-11	4	14.0	14.3	-0.22	13.4	14.7	-1.21
Chauncey Billups	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-9	0	16.1	11.6	4.55	14.0	14.2	-0.26
Reggie Slater	48	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-11	4	14.7	13.7	1.00	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Sharone Wright	14	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-12	6	16.0	13.9	2.14	17.0	13.6	3.39
Tracy McGrady	23	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.15	-14	-4	-10	14.6	14.0	0.58	14.8	13.8	0.99
Doug Christie	92	91	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-12	6	13.8	17.1	-3.26	14.1	13.9	0.19
Dee Brown	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	2	-22	14.3	13.8	0.56	14.3	13.4	0.93
John Wallace	87	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	0	-18	13.5	17.9	-4.35	14.0	14.6	-0.57

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	-2	22	14.3	13.6	0.66	14.7	13.1	1.59
Hersey Hawkins	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	-5	28	13.8	14.6	-0.75	14.5	13.5	0.97
Vin Baker	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-1	20	14.0	14.4	-0.43	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Greg Anthony	39	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	4	10	14.8	13.7	1.12	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Gary Payton	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	5	8	13.6	15.3	-1.77	14.3	13.9	0.36
Dale Ellis	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	14	-10	15.3	13.1	2.19	14.3	14.0	0.31
Aaron Williams	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	19	-20	14.0	14.1	-0.16	14.3	14.1	0.20
Nate McMillan	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	21	-24	15.0	13.6	1.36	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Sam Perkins	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	14	-10	13.7	14.2	-0.41	15.4	13.9	1.55
Jim McIlvaine	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	17	-16	13.4	14.4	-1.04	15.0	13.8	1.16
George Zidek	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	10.7	14.2	-3.52	10.5	14.2	-3.73
David Wingate	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	25	-32	13.0	14.4	-1.36	10.8	15.1	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	95.6%
CLE 73, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 87, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%