NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	6.0 [664]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): +25.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	2.1 [159]		LVP	Mike Muscala (PHI): -9.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.17	0.00	15	61%	0.25	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	20	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	14	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Harrison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ante Zizic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.02	11	74%	0.20	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.06
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	13	71%	0.23	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	14	69%	0.21	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.09	12	76%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	25.4	15.5	27.3	2.4	39.5	134.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.3%

PHI -17.6%

CLE +22.1%

CLE +7.2%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	17.6	13.3	14.3	130.1	120.4	109.3
season	15.5	14.0		106.3	110.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		108.1	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	19.5	15.9	18.9	17.6
PHI	15.5	13.3	13.6	11.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	34	35	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	4	1	18.3	17.2	1.09	11.6	14.4	-2.83
Tristan Thompson	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.03	19	-10	29	17.6	17.7	-0.10	13.1	13.9	-0.77
Cedi Osman	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-5	19	17.6	17.6	0.06	13.4	12.8	0.66
Jordan Clarkson	39	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	8	-7	18.6	16.9	1.73	12.6	13.8	-1.23
Rodney Hood	77	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	2	5	17.5	18.2	-0.74	13.1	14.7	-1.59
Larry Nance Jr.	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	12	-15	17.6	17.6	-0.01	13.3	13.4	-0.05
David Nwaba	57	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	0	9	17.6	17.7	-0.10	14.9	11.1	3.80
Ante Zizic	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	14.0	17.7	-3.67	18.0	13.3	4.72
Collin Sexton	61	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	16.8	19.2	-2.46	13.7	12.5	1.18
Kyle Korver	11	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	18	-27	18.2	17.6	0.62	13.4	13.3	0.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	28	27	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-15	21	12.7	13.6	-0.94	18.0	17.5	0.52
Mike Muscala	47	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-17	25	12.9	13.8	-0.93	18.0	17.3	0.69
T.J. McConnell	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-16	23	13.0	13.5	-0.46	15.2	18.5	-3.27
Landry Shamet	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-11	13	13.2	13.6	-0.47	16.7	19.1	-2.37
JJ Redick	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	13.3	13.4	-0.12	17.9	17.3	0.57
Ben Simmons	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.05	-14	5	-19	12.9	14.8	-1.85	17.8	16.9	0.94
Jimmy Butler	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.11	-20	11	-31	13.8	12.2	1.59	18.2	16.3	1.97
Wilson Chandler	62	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	1	-11	13.1	13.8	-0.71	17.4	18.1	-0.65
Joel Embiid	59	61	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.15	-19	10	-29	14.6	11.1	3.45	18.1	16.7	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	93.0%
CHH 107, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%
IND 86, WAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.05,0	92.8%