NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	9.9 [104]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): +32.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	3.5 [441]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -11.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	7	45%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	81%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Donovan Mitchell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	-0.07	0.07	-0.05	35	40%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.06
Alec Burks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.04	-0.10	-0.01	12	58%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Ricky Rubio	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	52%	0.02	3	-0.13	9	44%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.17	-0.00	15	80%	0.39	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.02	0.17	-0.08	20	47%	0.29	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	64%	0.14	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.06
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	43%	0.19	3	-0.22	5	40%	-0.09
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.01	7	64%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.4	28.6	15.3	32.8	1.6	34.7	146.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.3%

PHI +19.5%

PHI +4.1%

UTA -15.8%

UTA -8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	14.3	107.0	110.8	109.3
season	14.3	14.0		109.3	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	12.8	11.7	15.1	13.7
PHI	12.3	16.6	15.4	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	35	36	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.11	9	-15	24	12.3	14.5	-2.25	15.7	14.3	1.45
Derrick Favors	51	51	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.13	11	-17	28	13.2	14.3	-1.07	15.3	14.3	0.94
Thabo Sefolosha	24	23	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-12	18	13.4	13.8	-0.45	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Dante Exum	38	39	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-8	10	13.1	14.1	-1.08	15.4	14.4	1.01
Alec Burks	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	14.5	13.5	0.98	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	18.0	13.5	4.46	12.2	14.9	-2.64
Donovan Mitchell	72	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-7	8	13.1	15.3	-2.22	14.9	14.5	0.44
Jae Crowder	60	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-7	8	13.5	14.0	-0.47	15.8	13.2	2.64
Joe Ingles	67	68	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.39	-16	10	-26	14.5	12.1	2.39	14.3	15.8	-1.47
Ricky Rubio	65	66	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.43	-15	9	-24	14.5	12.3	2.25	14.3	15.7	-1.45
Rudy Gobert	61	63	-0.97	0.47	-1.45	-0.21	-26	20	-46	14.2	13.0	1.22	13.7	16.5	-2.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	77	74	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.42	15	-9	24	14.4	16.0	-1.56	14.1	12.8	1.28
Jimmy Butler	80	77	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-6	18	14.7	15.1	-0.39	13.8	13.3	0.54
Wilson Chandler	45	46	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.21	18	-12	30	13.7	15.6	-1.92	14.6	12.9	1.69
Joel Embiid	54	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-6	18	14.5	15.1	-0.60	14.8	12.4	2.36
JJ Redick	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-4	14	14.3	16.0	-1.65	14.1	12.8	1.26
Landry Shamet	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	10	-14	16.0	14.3	1.65	12.8	14.1	-1.26
Mike Muscala	69	64	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	13	-20	15.1	14.1	1.03	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Amir Johnson	30	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.19	-12	18	-30	16.1	14.2	1.82	12.2	14.4	-2.18
Furkan Korkmaz	22	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.08	-6	12	-18	15.1	14.7	0.39	13.3	13.8	-0.54
Markelle Fultz	31	32	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.10	-8	14	-22	15.8	14.3	1.47	12.0	14.5	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.31,0.29,0.53,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.74,1	89.9%
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	89.6%
UTA 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,1	89.4%