NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	7.5 [406]		MVP	Robert Covington (MIN): +11.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.5 [598]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -19.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	23	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11
Nikola Mirotic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	25	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06	5	-0.11	4	25%	-0.05
Jrue Holiday	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	18	39%	-0.03	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.04	-0.05	11	54%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	64%	0.16	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.05,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	22	47%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	44%	-0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	27.6	14.7	29.3	2.8	38.0	139.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +3.9%

MIN +25.7%

MIN +15.1%

MIN +4.1%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	13.0	14.1	14.3	95.2	100.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.4		110.2	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		111.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	14.1	12.3	12.9	13.0
MIN	14.3	13.6	12.5	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	67	67	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-16	25	12.0	14.7	-2.71	14.8	13.1	1.72
Julius Randle	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.4	2.08	12.8	14.7	-1.85
Anthony Davis	89	90	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-13	19	12.5	15.8	-3.31	14.6	12.0	2.56
E'Twaun Moore	83	83	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-14	21	12.7	14.1	-1.43	14.7	12.3	2.40
Tim Frazier	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	1	-9	14.7	12.7	1.97	11.6	14.5	-2.88
Jrue Holiday	85	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	12.6	14.7	-2.15	15.0	10.6	4.39
Nikola Mirotic	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-7	7	12.5	14.3	-1.76	14.6	13.0	1.60
Cheick Diallo	16	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	6	-19	15.8	12.5	3.31	12.0	14.6	-2.56
Ian Clark	28	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	6	-19	14.3	12.5	1.74	11.9	15.1	-3.12
Darius Miller	39	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	9	-25	14.5	12.1	2.43	12.9	15.0	-2.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-2	11	14.6	13.1	1.53	12.4	14.6	-2.13
Robert Covington	91	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	14.4	12.7	1.65	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Tyus Jones	27	25	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-9	25	11.2	15.1	-3.96	14.7	12.5	2.24
Josh Okogie	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-8	23	12.7	15.0	-2.31	15.0	11.9	3.03
Taj Gibson	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	7	-7	14.6	13.5	1.10	12.2	14.3	-2.13
Andrew Wiggins	85	82	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	12	-17	14.6	12.6	1.96	12.3	15.5	-3.16
Dario Saric	45	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	0	7	13.5	14.6	-1.10	14.3	12.2	2.13
Jeff Teague	80	80	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	16	-25	15.1	11.2	3.96	12.5	14.7	-2.24
Gorgui Dieng	31	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	9	-11	13.1	14.6	-1.53	14.6	12.4	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	92.0%
DET 95, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	91.7%
ATL 77, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.3%