NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	112		Excitement	10.4 [74]		MVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): +34.7%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	10.9 [84]		LVP	Gary Harris (DEN): -16.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.01,0.35	0.00	0.34	-0.01	14	46%	0.35	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.15
D'Angelo Russell	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	14	64%	0.27	2	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	85%	0.19	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	43%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	56%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Allen Crabbe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.22,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.01	14	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.14
Jared Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.19	0.00	5	80%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.00	11	68%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.14	-0.01	8	50%	0.15	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.13	-0.13	0.10	-0.23	0.01	22	69%	0.16	6	-0.29	10	80%	0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	11	17%	-0.07	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	23.8	15.7	31.8	1.7	41.6	140.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +38.0%

DEN -15.6%

DEN -0.5%

BKN +26.3%

BKN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.3	113.1	108.9	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		108.6	112.0
opponent	14.6	14.0		108.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.1	14.0	14.1	14.8	14.5
DEN	14.9	15.4	15.3	11.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-6	14	13.3	15.8	-2.54	14.7	13.9	0.75
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	3	-4	15.5	12.9	2.59	13.6	15.4	-1.89
Caris LeVert	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	2	-2	13.8	15.9	-2.07	14.7	13.6	1.08
Joe Harris	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	4	-6	14.5	14.5	-0.03	14.5	14.0	0.48
Allen Crabbe	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	3	-4	16.0	13.2	2.73	13.2	15.3	-2.09
DeMarre Carroll	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-2	6	15.7	14.0	1.75	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Ed Davis	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-3	8	16.6	13.6	2.97	15.2	13.9	1.22
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	35	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	3	-4	15.7	13.8	1.84	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Jarrett Allen	68	69	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	7	-12	13.4	16.8	-3.41	14.3	14.4	-0.15
D'Angelo Russell	55	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	-1	4	12.9	16.4	-3.49	15.3	13.0	2.28

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monte Morris	44	45	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	13.7	14.8	-1.07	15.9	13.3	2.56
Nikola Jokic	70	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-7	12	15.2	12.4	2.77	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Juancho Hernangomez	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-2	2	15.1	14.0	1.10	16.0	14.0	1.99
Trey Lyles	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-1	0	13.4	15.0	-1.63	15.8	13.5	2.25
Torrey Craig	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	8	-18	16.3	13.9	2.41	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Gary Harris	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-8	14	14.4	13.9	0.57	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Paul Millsap	59	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-1	0	15.0	13.4	1.63	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Malik Beasley	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.50	2	-4	6	13.4	15.2	-1.75	13.7	15.2	-1.59
Mason Plumlee	31	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	5	-12	12.4	15.2	-2.77	15.6	14.0	1.54
Jamal Murray	87	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	4	-10	14.3	14.2	0.11	14.2	16.1	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.43,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.45,0.74,0	89.1%
NOK 100, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.37,0.68,0.58,0	88.9%
MIA 93, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	88.8%