NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	7.6 [298]		MVP	J.R. Bremer (BOS): +57.1%
Washington Wizards	83		Comeback	2.8 [342]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -26.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Bremer	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.57	0.16	0.41	0.00	11	83%	0.57	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	21	48%	0.03	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	7	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.12	-0.03	19	42%	-0.11	5	-0.16	10	100%	0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	17	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	12	50%	-0.02	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	8	50%	-0.14	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	26.4	21.3	26.6	2.4	27.4	133.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.2%

WAS -6.9%

BOS +7.3%

BOS +1.1%

BOS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	17.6	15.5	102.4	98.8	101.6
season	15.6	16.5		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	17.9	14.9	18.1	16.4
WAS	16.2	19.0	17.0	18.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	43	43	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	17.4	15.5	1.97	19.2	16.0	3.16
Walter McCarty	48	48	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	0	4	17.5	15.1	2.42	18.1	17.0	1.13
Antoine Walker	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	16.2	20.2	-4.00	17.8	16.4	1.32
Mark Blount	32	32	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	17.2	16.0	1.29	18.7	17.0	1.74
Paul Pierce	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	16.4	16.9	-0.51	17.6	17.6	0.05
Kedrick Brown	5	4	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	15.4	16.5	-1.11	12.2	17.9	-5.66
Grant Long	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	20.2	16.2	4.00	16.4	17.8	-1.32
Eric Williams	47	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	15.8	17.2	-1.38	17.0	18.3	-1.35
Tony Battie	42	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	15.7	17.2	-1.45	16.9	18.4	-1.46
Tony Delk	48	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	15.4	17.8	-2.32	16.7	18.9	-2.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	20.3	16.9	3.39	18.9	15.7	3.22
Bobby Simmons	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	15.7	19.0	-3.26	17.3	15.9	1.43
Bryon Russell	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	18.6	17.3	1.33	17.7	16.0	1.77
Brendan Haywood	9	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	7	-18	19.2	17.5	1.77	13.7	16.8	-3.11
Kwame Brown	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-12	20	17.1	19.0	-1.91	16.5	16.4	0.08
Michael Jordan	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-4	4	18.2	13.8	4.36	16.3	17.2	-0.85
Tyronn Lue	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	17.1	19.7	-2.60	15.9	18.9	-2.99
Jerry Stackhouse	72	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	17.3	19.9	-2.65	16.0	19.2	-3.26
Christian Laettner	62	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	6	-16	18.2	16.0	2.29	16.4	16.5	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.45,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.59,0.58,0	91.1%
WAS 108, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.35,0.58,0	90.6%
ORL 91, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,0	90.2%