NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	87		Excitement	9.1 [166]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +27.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	3.1 [301]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -24.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	9	76%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.06
Mason Plumlee	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	6	71%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	16	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	1	67%	-0.04	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Murray	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.25	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	21	34%	-0.06	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0,0,0.28	0.28	0.03	0.24	-0.01	13	61%	0.35	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.11
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.23	-0.00	4	75%	0.29	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	9	64%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	9	22%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.5	15.2	29.6	2.3	32.5	136.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +2.3%

MEM +35.3%

DEN -17.7%

MEM +31.1%

DEN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	14.3	95.6	100.0	109.3
season	14.8	15.4		112.0	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.6		107.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.1	16.7	15.2	17.3	15.5
MEM	16.9	15.3	15.4	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	40	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.17	-2	0	-2	17.2	14.1	3.11	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Monte Morris	47	47	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	17.1	13.8	3.27	16.7	16.3	0.42
Trey Lyles	51	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-7	12	16.5	14.2	2.28	16.9	16.0	0.90
Malik Beasley	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	2	-6	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.0	16.9	-2.90
Paul Millsap	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	14.2	16.5	-2.28	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Juancho Hernangomez	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	16.6	14.7	1.85	17.5	15.7	1.75
Jamal Murray	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	4	-10	15.3	16.3	-1.08	16.1	17.9	-1.77
Torrey Craig	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	2	-6	14.3	16.4	-2.14	16.3	16.7	-0.38
Nikola Jokic	51	49	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.61	0	-2	2	14.1	17.2	-3.11	17.1	15.7	1.42
Gary Harris	64	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.60	-2	0	-2	14.6	17.6	-3.02	16.8	15.9	0.89

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	67	71	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-13	28	15.9	18.5	-2.59	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Garrett Temple	56	58	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.54	10	-8	18	16.2	16.9	-0.69	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Shelvin Mack	35	37	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.67	2	0	2	16.3	16.6	-0.36	15.5	15.5	0.06
Mike Conley	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-2	6	16.4	16.7	-0.31	15.6	15.1	0.50
Dillon Brooks	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.40	-6	8	-14	17.2	16.0	1.14	16.4	14.8	1.58
Jaren Jackson Jr.	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	2	-2	16.7	16.1	0.57	15.6	15.3	0.26
MarShon Brooks	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	1	0	18.0	16.1	1.89	16.8	15.1	1.70
Wayne Selden	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	15.7	16.9	-1.15	15.9	15.3	0.51
Kyle Anderson	63	62	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.20	-1	3	-4	16.7	15.9	0.82	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Ivan Rabb	9	10	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	12	-22	17.8	16.4	1.42	14.3	15.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.68,0.64,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 75, ORL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.3%
IND 102, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.72,1	90.6%
DAL 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.98,1	90.1%