NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	8.3 [264]		MVP	Antonio Blakeney (CHI): +45.2%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	7.4 [324]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -29.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.01	19	57%	0.33	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Myles Turner	0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	10	75%	0.20	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.12	-0.02	0.11	-0.04	15	45%	0.13	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	4	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
TJ Leaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.45	0.45	0.17	0.29	0.02	13	81%	0.47	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.04
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	0.04	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.01	10	52%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.22	-0.00	21	43%	-0.18	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	25.6	15.4	25.4	1.7	30.3	124.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.9%

IND +4.0%

IND +11.2%

IND +12.5%

CHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	14.3	113.8	110.5	109.3
season	14.5	14.6		108.4	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.6		112.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	12.2	15.8	18.1	15.1
CHI	14.9	14.9	14.2	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	62	64	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.72	11	-9	20	15.2	15.0	0.24	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	57	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.81	6	-4	10	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Myles Turner	54	55	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.65	6	-4	10	14.8	15.6	-0.87	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Darren Collison	69	73	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	15.5	14.2	1.32	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Victor Oladipo	70	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-3	8	15.2	14.9	0.28	14.9	16.5	-1.59
TJ Leaf	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	13.2	15.4	-2.29	16.5	15.2	1.32
Doug McDermott	29	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.16	-4	6	-10	14.1	15.6	-1.53	16.2	15.0	1.24
Domantas Sabonis	41	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.22	-4	6	-10	15.7	14.7	0.94	16.2	14.7	1.56
Cory Joseph	44	41	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.31	-7	9	-16	15.1	15.2	-0.07	15.6	15.1	0.50
Tyreke Evans	34	34	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.27	-11	13	-24	15.4	14.9	0.49	16.1	15.0	1.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Blakeney	50	50	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.19	6	-8	14	15.5	15.2	0.28	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Chandler Hutchison	31	31	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.19	3	-5	8	15.8	15.1	0.73	16.1	14.6	1.49
Cristiano Felicio	41	41	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	1	-4	16.4	14.6	1.83	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Robin Lopez	11	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	4	-10	13.4	15.6	-2.24	9.7	15.7	-6.04
Zach LaVine	68	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-7	12	15.5	15.0	0.43	15.6	14.0	1.59
Cameron Payne	54	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	2	-6	14.4	16.6	-2.14	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Ryan Arcidiacono	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	0	-2	16.6	14.4	2.14	16.1	14.4	1.65
Wendell Carter Jr.	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.66	8	-10	18	15.2	15.5	-0.29	16.4	13.9	2.51
Jabari Parker	61	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.61	-6	4	-10	14.9	16.2	-1.34	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Justin Holiday	72	71	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.77	-11	9	-20	15.1	16.0	-0.86	14.6	16.7	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.45,0.17,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.01,0	90.7%
ATL 89, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.47,0.28,0.16,0.31,0	88.1%
SAS 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,0	88.0%