inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 104 Excitement10.5 [62] MVPTiago Splitter (SAS): +26.4%
Golden State Warriors 102 Comeback3.7 [138] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -33.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tiago Splitter0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.26-0.090.35-0.01724%0.302-0.04367%0.02
Kawhi Leonard0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.010.021460%0.091-0.04757%-0.09
Marco Belinelli0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.050.16-0.110.001678%0.233-0.184100%0.04
Jeff Ayres0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Patty Mills0.010,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.010.04-0.030.001754%0.031-0.02367%-0.01
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02383%0.084-0.1000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.040.02-0.00945%0.052-0.08250%-0.02
Nando De Colo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00520%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Danny Green-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.06-0.12-0.011439%-0.132-0.0400%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.260.260.160.10-0.002263%0.271-0.01786%0.02
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00375%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0,0.11,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.012854%0.205-0.1900%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.01425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00475%0.064-0.1200%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.040.00250%0.022-0.0900%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.04-0.110.013100%0.072-0.162100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.0130%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.15-0.18-0.001836%-0.175-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.829.418.429.43.637.4145.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +17.1%
SAS +0.9%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +25.9%
SAS +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game14.313.615.1101.098.1105.2
season15.014.2109.8105.9
opponent15.315.0102.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.213.412.815.814.3
GSW13.013.813.414.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills72750.78-0.281.060.4910-81813.715.5-1.8113.713.10.61
Kawhi Leonard76770.69-0.190.880.574-2614.014.9-0.8113.813.10.68
Marco Belinelli60630.390.110.280.303-1414.514.00.5113.014.4-1.34
Tiago Splitter56600.350.150.210.215-3814.713.70.9713.313.9-0.58
Matt Bonner28290.290.210.08-0.0010-81813.914.4-0.4412.713.9-1.23
Boris Diaw68680.250.250.010.37-46-1014.913.01.8514.212.51.69
Jeff Ayres26240.140.36-0.21-0.005-3812.614.8-2.1914.013.40.55
Nando De Colo1413-0.010.51-0.52-0.0411013.914.3-0.3711.613.9-2.24
Cory Joseph3029-0.020.52-0.540.13-57-1215.213.91.2913.113.7-0.61
Aron Baynes2019-0.160.66-0.820.16-1113-2414.714.10.5614.313.40.90
Danny Green6563-0.210.71-0.920.02-810-1814.214.4-0.2313.913.00.87

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kent Bazemore10110.19-0.690.870.074-61012.213.7-1.5217.413.93.48
Toney Douglas16170.11-0.610.720.023-5811.913.9-1.9415.414.01.32
Marreese Speights17180.01-0.510.520.04-1-1012.113.9-1.8114.614.20.43
Harrison Barnes4343-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-2212.614.3-1.7413.514.8-1.23
David Lee8383-0.05-0.450.39-0.143-5814.011.92.1514.513.31.18
Draymond Green3636-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.290-2212.214.3-2.0714.114.3-0.26
Klay Thompson8786-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-53-813.613.40.2014.313.80.51
Stephen Curry8886-0.610.11-0.72-0.46-53-813.911.91.9414.015.4-1.32
Andre Iguodala6866-0.650.15-0.80-0.56-31-414.412.12.3314.114.5-0.45
Andrew Bogut7269-0.670.17-0.84-0.50-64-1014.112.41.7414.014.8-0.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, DET 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.36,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.13,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.37,0.45,0.16,091.3%
LAC 95, NOP 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,091.1%
MIN 111, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.17,0.27,0.53,0.29,0.54,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.37,091.1%