inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 111 Excitement8.1 [222] MVPSebastian Telfair (MIN): +37.8%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback2.9 [81] LVPMike Miller (MIN): -22.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair0.380,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.03,0.22,0.380.150.270.041479%0.535-0.1610100%0.09
Ryan Gomes0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.080.011467%0.212-0.05250%-0.01
Randy Foye0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.23,0.14,0.140.040.09-0.001258%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Love0.110,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.110.050.060.011067%0.173-0.064100%0.03
Craig Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00756%0.091-0.04450%-0.02
Brian Cardinal0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.000.00387%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Rodney Carney0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01362%0.072-0.052100%0.02
Jason Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Mike Miller-0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.09-0.110.02464%0.016-0.24367%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.350.350.200.200.052265%0.391-0.041392%0.04
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.34,0.34,0.180.180.070.110.00686%0.372-0.202100%0.04
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.000100%0.051-0.024100%0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.011261%0.041-0.01475%-0.01
Jamario Moon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011040%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.011040%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02829%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.05-0.090.01965%-0.021-0.04250%-0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.728.517.527.91.839.1142.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +50.3%
MIN +8.5%
MIN +43.4%
MIA -48.4%
MIA -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game15.814.515.5116.8109.5106.4
season15.816.0104.3105.9
opponent15.715.1105.7109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.414.116.716.815.8
MIA15.916.615.310.814.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Gomes71700.78-0.281.050.2518-112915.616.3-0.7015.412.13.35
Sebastian Telfair86860.65-0.150.800.2713-61915.815.9-0.1314.812.32.45
Randy Foye49510.450.050.400.2761516.814.72.1613.316.0-2.62
Craig Smith26250.260.240.020.0570716.415.50.8514.314.6-0.31
Rodney Carney62580.190.31-0.120.22-18-914.617.9-3.2814.414.7-0.25
Kevin Love58600.080.42-0.340.34-916-2516.115.30.7715.013.81.18
Jason Collins17160.070.43-0.350.0225-314.516.1-1.5814.514.6-0.06
Brian Cardinal34350.040.46-0.42-0.1461516.315.50.7713.615.1-1.55
Mike Miller7274-0.010.51-0.530.19-714-2115.815.60.2714.614.50.03

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers45470.17-0.670.85-0.1511-182914.514.6-0.1517.314.32.98
Joel Anthony24230.14-0.640.770.024-111513.914.8-0.9017.515.22.31
Michael Beasley3638-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-111512.915.6-2.6715.715.8-0.10
James Jones3031-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-7717.213.33.8316.215.60.58
Jamario Moon1012-0.09-0.410.320.17-92-1115.314.50.8412.216.3-4.12
Jermaine O'Neal5151-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-6515.613.32.3315.915.70.20
Dwyane Wade8786-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-2-5314.218.0-3.7715.815.8-0.01
Daequan Cook6564-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.24-70-713.317.2-3.8315.616.2-0.58
Chris Quinn5048-0.670.17-0.85-0.15-1811-2914.614.50.1514.317.3-2.98
Udonis Haslem7775-0.740.24-0.99-0.25-1710-2715.112.32.8015.815.70.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.17,0.27,0.53,0.29,0.54,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.37,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 104, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,091.1%
NYK 89, VAN 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,091.0%
LAC 95, NOP 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,090.9%