NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): +28.7%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	3.7 [596]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -18.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.29	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.09	-0.01	12	89%	0.33	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ty Lawson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	15	58%	0.09	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.06
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	4	42%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.09
James Harden	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.16,-0.28,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	19	38%	-0.04	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	12	58%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	14	65%	0.09	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	12	48%	0.10	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	57%	0.04	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	12	50%	-0.02	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	34.4	15.8	25.4	2.6	33.2	139.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.8%

PHX -26.9%

HOU +13.4%

HOU +33.6%

HOU +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	15.7	14.9	108.8	105.0	105.1
season	14.0	14.4		105.9	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.1		107.4	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.7	11.8	10.1	16.5	12.8
PHX	14.0	16.5	16.2	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	78	76	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.45	14	-8	22	11.9	15.7	-3.77	16.2	14.1	2.15
Patrick Beverley	54	54	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-3	12	12.1	13.6	-1.51	16.4	14.9	1.53
Dwight Howard	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	1	4	12.9	12.7	0.22	16.4	14.4	1.98
Trevor Ariza	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	3	0	12.9	12.7	0.21	16.3	13.8	2.46
Jason Terry	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	3	0	15.2	11.8	3.32	17.2	15.1	2.11
Clint Capela	33	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	2	2	13.1	12.7	0.35	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Josh Smith	48	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	6	-6	13.1	12.6	0.45	14.0	17.2	-3.25
Marcus Thornton	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	5	-4	13.8	12.6	1.20	14.5	16.0	-1.43
Corey Brewer	56	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	12	-18	12.0	13.8	-1.83	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Ty Lawson	48	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	9	-12	13.6	12.1	1.51	14.9	16.4	-1.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	40	40	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-14	22	15.4	15.9	-0.45	13.2	12.6	0.66
Jordan McRae	29	30	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-10	14	17.2	15.1	2.14	13.5	12.6	0.91
Sonny Weems	38	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-10	14	15.9	15.6	0.24	13.5	12.4	1.08
Alex Len	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-4	2	16.5	14.8	1.63	12.8	12.9	-0.08
Tyson Chandler	45	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	14.8	16.5	-1.63	12.9	12.8	0.08
Devin Booker	85	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	15.9	14.5	1.40	13.2	11.1	2.12
Archie Goodwin	82	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	3	-12	15.0	19.1	-4.07	12.3	15.6	-3.39
PJ Tucker	66	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	6	-18	15.6	15.9	-0.34	12.4	13.6	-1.19
Markieff Morris	60	62	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	8	-22	15.9	15.4	0.45	12.6	13.2	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.22,0.02,0,0	91.5%
IND 107, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.45,0.17,0.1,0.15,0	90.7%
CHA 104, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.28,0	90.2%