NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	8.7 [211]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +26.6%
Charlotte Hornets	107		Comeback	25.7 [57]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -21.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.27,0.27	0.05	0.20	-0.01	15	55%	0.32	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.02
Alex Abrines	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.03	-0.01	15	78%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	24	53%	0.21	3	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	7	56%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	5	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Paul George	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.03	-0.01	20	25%	-0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	15	64%	0.24	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	12	55%	0.16	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	16	57%	0.06	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.06
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	10	39%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	31.1	14.4	28.1	1.6	32.4	136.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +18.5%

CHA -9.4%

OKC +13.4%

OKC +30.0%

CHA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	12.8	15.1	14.3	108.8	102.9	109.3
season	12.9	14.6		108.9	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.9		111.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.3	13.9	12.0	13.2	12.8
CHA	14.3	14.3	16.8	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	84	87	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	12.2	15.7	-3.51	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Alex Abrines	61	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-12	28	14.0	11.0	3.02	15.7	14.3	1.45
Dennis Schroder	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-8	20	12.6	13.2	-0.60	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Steven Adams	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-2	8	12.5	13.6	-1.10	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Russell Westbrook	78	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	12.6	13.6	-1.04	15.4	14.2	1.14
Hamidou Diallo	23	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	13.8	12.5	1.28	15.8	14.9	0.88
Patrick Patterson	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	12.9	12.8	0.05	13.9	15.3	-1.45
Terrance Ferguson	39	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	11	-18	12.1	13.3	-1.14	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Nerlens Noel	16	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	15.1	12.4	2.72	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jerami Grant	54	55	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.14	-16	20	-36	12.9	12.8	0.04	14.5	15.8	-1.23

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	39	37	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-9	14	15.4	14.9	0.53	13.3	12.6	0.73
Willy Hernangomez	28	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.68	11.9	13.1	-1.22
Miles Bridges	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	15.1	15.1	0.03	13.1	12.6	0.52
Tony Parker	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	15.5	14.7	0.77	13.8	12.0	1.81
Nicolas Batum	79	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-9	14	14.8	15.9	-1.07	12.9	12.6	0.31
Malik Monk	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.8	-1.43	12.8	12.9	-0.14
Kemba Walker	71	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-6	8	14.5	16.4	-1.93	12.2	14.1	-1.84
Jeremy Lamb	57	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-5	6	15.2	15.0	0.23	12.2	13.5	-1.30
Cody Zeller	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	15.2	14.9	0.30	13.0	12.7	0.31
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	51	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.22	-25	21	-46	16.5	13.9	2.61	13.1	12.6	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.17,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	90.7%
BOS 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,0	90.5%
SAS 91, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.02,0	90.3%