NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	5.5 [764]		MVP	Garrett Temple (MEM): +17.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.9 [641]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.06	0.06	15	73%	0.08	9	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.06	-0.07	13	62%	0.21	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.01	0.07	10	70%	0.08	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.03
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.06	8	78%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	89%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	18	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.5	30.8	13.8	25.0	1.8	30.3	129.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.8%

MEM +4.6%

MEM +8.8%

MEM +11.4%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	15.7	14.3	99.0	110.3	109.3
season	13.8	15.4		109.8	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		107.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	15.7	14.0	13.0	14.2
MEM	14.4	13.1	16.0	19.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-9	6	15.5	14.0	1.47	12.7	16.1	-3.34
Jason Smith	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-16	20	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-10	8	13.2	15.7	-2.52	16.2	14.9	1.25
Bradley Beal	80	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-11	10	14.0	14.7	-0.64	15.7	15.5	0.25
Otto Porter Jr.	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	14.4	13.2	1.24	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Jeff Green	56	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-8	4	14.0	14.4	-0.42	16.4	14.6	1.85
Austin Rivers	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	1	-14	14.7	13.8	0.90	14.7	16.3	-1.68
Ian Mahinmi	40	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	7	-26	15.3	13.4	1.92	14.9	16.2	-1.33
John Wall	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	2	-16	13.9	14.8	-0.89	16.3	14.2	2.11

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	72	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.08	20	-8	28	15.1	17.2	-2.10	14.6	13.0	1.53
Garrett Temple	71	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-6	24	16.2	14.3	1.93	14.5	13.1	1.43
Marc Gasol	74	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-2	16	15.4	16.4	-0.99	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Shelvin Mack	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	15.8	15.5	0.23	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Kyle Anderson	59	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	2	8	14.9	16.8	-1.87	14.8	13.2	1.64
Dillon Brooks	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	14	-16	16.3	15.0	1.26	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Jaren Jackson Jr.	21	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	9	-6	14.5	16.0	-1.48	14.6	14.0	0.62
MarShon Brooks	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	8	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.10	15.7	14.0	1.77
Ivan Rabb	23	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	14	-16	16.4	15.4	0.99	14.2	14.1	0.12
Wayne Selden	17	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	22	-32	18.6	15.1	3.53	11.4	14.7	-3.26
Omri Casspi	29	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	18	-24	15.8	15.6	0.16	14.0	14.2	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.5%
GSW 105, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.4%
DET 102, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%