NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	6.0 [667]		MVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.9 [739]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -15.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	3	110%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.02	13	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.05	13	72%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Georges Niang	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.04	0.14	5	100%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.13
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	125%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	5	43%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.02	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	19	53%	0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.08	0.03	19	71%	0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	86%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.17	0.00	8	58%	0.06	1	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	13	25%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.4	14.7	30.2	2.4	41.3	143.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.3%

DAL -4.4%

DAL -1.3%

UTA +11.0%

DAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.3	110.8	103.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.7		109.3	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		109.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.5	14.4	12.9	15.1	13.8
DAL	17.0	13.8	15.9	12.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	36	34	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-4	17	12.2	14.6	-2.40	15.8	14.0	1.75
Grayson Allen	28	27	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-8	25	11.9	14.5	-2.54	16.4	13.9	2.46
Ekpe Udoh	32	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-2	13	13.2	14.1	-0.90	15.8	14.1	1.75
Georges Niang	30	27	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	4	1	12.5	14.3	-1.76	15.8	14.2	1.65
Royce O'Neale	38	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	9	-9	12.2	14.7	-2.49	15.7	14.0	1.78
Joe Ingles	64	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	0	9	14.7	12.2	2.49	14.0	15.7	-1.78
Jae Crowder	72	74	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.3	12.5	1.76	14.2	15.8	-1.65
Rudy Gobert	70	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	11	-13	14.1	13.2	0.90	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	17	-25	14.5	11.9	2.54	13.9	16.4	-2.46
Ricky Rubio	66	67	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	14.6	12.2	2.40	14.0	15.8	-1.75

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	78	78	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-12	15	13.9	16.9	-2.93	14.3	12.0	2.32
Wesley Matthews	77	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-9	9	14.1	16.4	-2.32	14.2	12.5	1.71
Luka Doncic	77	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	14.1	16.1	-1.94	14.3	12.0	2.35
Dennis Smith Jr.	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	13.9	16.3	-2.41	14.5	12.2	2.22
Harrison Barnes	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-5	1	13.9	16.6	-2.71	14.3	12.4	1.90
Dorian Finney-Smith	22	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	15.9	14.2	1.67	12.7	14.1	-1.34
Maxi Kleber	27	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	16.6	13.9	2.71	12.4	14.3	-1.90
J.J. Barea	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	16.3	13.9	2.41	12.2	14.5	-2.22
Dwight Powell	23	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	3	-15	16.9	13.9	2.93	12.0	14.3	-2.32
Jalen Brunson	26	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	5	-19	16.5	13.9	2.55	11.8	14.4	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIL 98, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	94.0%
DET 108, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.3%