NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	5.4 [717]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +23.8%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	1.2 [995]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	17	80%	0.36	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.05	0.03	17	76%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.02	12	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	10	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.02	13	64%	0.20	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	13	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	18	42%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.07	8	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	19	43%	-0.07	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.4	17.4	25.6	2.4	28.8	126.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +53.7%

NYK -1.4%

NYK -3.5%

PHX +0.4%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.7	15.4	121.1	110.6	105.7
season	13.8	15.7		111.1	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.6		109.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	15.3	13.0	14.3	13.8
NYK	19.5	17.5	15.8	14.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-4	19	14.0	13.3	0.68	16.9	16.1	0.80
Brian Skinner	39	38	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.0	17.8	-2.84
Grant Hill	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-3	17	13.6	14.5	-0.89	16.4	17.5	-1.04
Boris Diaw	33	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	8	-5	14.0	13.7	0.26	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Leandro Barbosa	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	11	-11	14.3	13.3	0.99	17.0	16.4	0.52
Raja Bell	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	5	1	13.2	15.2	-1.98	16.8	16.3	0.50
Steve Nash	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	6	-1	13.9	13.6	0.31	17.6	14.8	2.73
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	74	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	8	-5	13.8	13.7	0.14	16.7	16.5	0.18
Eric Piatkowski	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	13	-15	14.9	13.7	1.25	16.3	16.7	-0.47

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	16	18	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-13	15	15.0	17.0	-2.04	12.4	14.1	-1.74
Renaldo Balkman	14	15	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-13	15	16.1	16.8	-0.73	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Eddy Curry	60	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-4	-3	16.7	16.6	0.07	13.8	13.8	-0.05
Stephon Marbury	76	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	16.1	19.3	-3.20	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Fred Jones	28	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	17.0	16.6	0.44	13.9	13.7	0.15
Jamal Crawford	83	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	17.0	14.5	2.53	14.0	12.8	1.19
David Lee	39	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-7	3	16.2	17.0	-0.79	13.7	13.9	-0.12
Quentin Richardson	81	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	1	-13	17.0	15.0	1.96	14.0	12.7	1.28
Zach Randolph	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	2	-15	17.3	14.6	2.67	14.2	12.5	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
ORL 107, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
LAC 98, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%