NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.8 [672]		MVP	Marcus Camby (LAC): +15.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Comeback	1.2 [887]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -16.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	10	59%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.05	0.06	11	76%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	21	42%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	20	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	18	58%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.08
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	0.01	11	42%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	15	41%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.1	15.5	27.2	1.8	29.3	127.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +11.3%

LAC +18.5%

OKC -4.6%

LAC +25.4%

OKC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.0	15.5	100.0	90.7	106.4
season	15.7	14.9		100.7	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.1	18.7	14.6	16.3	15.6
OKC	14.0	14.7	14.8	12.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-10	30	14.8	18.8	-4.08	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Eric Gordon	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-8	26	15.2	18.3	-3.17	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Zach Randolph	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-3	16	15.9	13.8	2.07	14.0	13.9	0.14
Baron Davis	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	15.1	17.1	-1.97	14.5	12.0	2.53
Mardy Collins	55	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	11	-12	16.0	15.0	0.94	12.6	15.6	-2.99
Jason Hart	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	16.3	15.3	0.99	11.5	14.7	-3.21
Al Thornton	55	56	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	9	-8	15.9	15.1	0.77	16.0	11.2	4.86
Paul Davis	28	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	18	-26	16.6	15.1	1.48	13.3	14.2	-0.87
Steve Novak	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	18.4	15.4	3.00	13.8	14.0	-0.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-15	20	14.3	13.6	0.70	16.5	14.6	1.86
Chris Wilcox	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-13	16	14.7	13.6	1.16	17.8	14.4	3.46
Earl Watson	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-13	16	13.3	15.5	-2.21	16.7	13.0	3.68
Johan Petro	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-3	-4	15.3	13.4	1.95	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Nick Collison	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	13.7	14.7	-0.92	16.0	14.5	1.48
Damien Wilkins	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	1	-12	15.4	13.5	1.92	13.0	16.5	-3.42
Russell Westbrook	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	13.6	14.9	-1.38	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Kevin Durant	84	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	8	-26	13.7	15.6	-1.89	14.9	20.0	-5.13
Jeff Green	61	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.10	-17	7	-24	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.7	17.0	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
SAC 125, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	93.5%
PHX 115, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%