NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	7.0 [482]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): +22.2%
LA Clippers	108		Comeback	4.5 [317]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): -22.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	11	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hamidou Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Paul George	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.14	0.06	-0.09	27	35%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Deonte Burton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.09	-0.04	15	24%	-0.13	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	16	74%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.09	-0.03	12	55%	0.20	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.10	0.04	6	68%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	3	117%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	22	50%	0.17	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.04
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	19%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	29.4	14.5	32.4	2.4	34.2	141.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +54.4%

LAC +1.7%

OKC -14.9%

LAC +6.8%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	14.3	91.1	105.9	109.3
season	12.9	13.9		108.9	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.9		110.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	12.5	14.5	16.4	14.5
LAC	12.4	15.8	14.3	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	41	40	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-18	20	13.7	15.1	-1.47	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Nerlens Noel	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-16	16	15.0	14.3	0.72	12.9	14.3	-1.35
Hamidou Diallo	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-17	18	15.6	14.3	1.24	13.9	13.8	0.12
Deonte Burton	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	11.0	14.6	-3.64	11.0	13.9	-2.90
Patrick Patterson	43	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.21	-9	-7	-2	13.8	15.1	-1.26	14.4	13.4	0.95
Terrance Ferguson	38	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.24	-11	-5	-6	13.7	15.1	-1.41	14.2	13.6	0.59
Alex Abrines	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-7	-2	14.8	14.0	0.85	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Jerami Grant	55	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-11	6	15.3	13.6	1.66	13.5	14.2	-0.72
Paul George	79	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	-3	-10	14.5	14.7	-0.25	14.0	13.3	0.64
Steven Adams	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	0	-16	14.3	15.0	-0.72	14.3	12.9	1.35
Dennis Schroder	60	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	2	-20	15.1	13.7	1.47	14.4	13.0	1.39

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	35	32	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	1	14	13.8	13.9	-0.11	15.5	14.1	1.46
Luc Mbah a Moute	42	41	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	1	14	11.8	15.2	-3.42	15.7	13.8	1.89
Tobias Harris	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.00	20	-4	24	14.7	11.2	3.45	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Lou Williams	57	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	3	10	12.6	15.4	-2.75	15.7	13.2	2.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	52	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	4	8	12.2	15.6	-3.37	15.8	13.4	2.37
Mike Scott	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.02	4	12	-8	7.6	14.5	-6.92	17.7	14.2	3.51
Marcin Gortat	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	9	-2	14.8	13.1	1.68	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Patrick Beverley	50	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	12	-8	15.6	12.2	3.37	13.4	15.8	-2.37
Danilo Gallinari	57	58	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	14	-12	14.9	12.5	2.38	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Avery Bradley	60	60	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	16	-16	15.2	11.8	3.42	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Montrezl Harrell	27	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	28	-40	12.6	14.3	-1.65	15.2	14.3	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, PHI 100	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.58,0.73,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	92.5%
DEN 75, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.59,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.3%
DET 84, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	91.6%