NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	124		Excitement	10.4 [81]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (GSW): +83.0%
Utah Jazz	123		Comeback	14.7 [115]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -25.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.83	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.83	0.08	0.75	0.00	5	100%	0.86	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	24	63%	0.31	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Damian Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0,0,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.08,-0.15	0.18	-0.30	0.02	25	64%	-0.09	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.12	-0.01	15	90%	0.40	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	9	68%	0.22	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	5	93%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	12	54%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	70%	0.10	4	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.17,-0.25	-0.25	-0.03	-0.22	-0.00	23	40%	-0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.9	2.8	29.0	15.5	28.2	2.0	33.8	144.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +50.1%

GSW +1.7%

UTA -19.9%

GSW +2.1%

GSW +16.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	12.6	15.0	14.3	118.1	118.3	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		114.5	109.3
opponent	14.3	15.0		105.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.2	11.8	12.5	14.0	12.6
UTA	15.5	13.5	15.8	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	12.3	13.3	-0.99	15.0	15.0	0.01
Shaun Livingston	40	39	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-14	29	12.7	12.4	0.30	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Kevin Durant	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	12.5	13.0	-0.52	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Stephen Curry	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.54	-3	4	-7	12.1	14.0	-1.81	15.2	14.3	0.85
Jonas Jerebko	54	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	-1	3	12.1	13.0	-0.93	14.6	15.4	-0.71
Damian Jones	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-4	9	12.7	12.5	0.15	15.9	14.5	1.35
Klay Thompson	78	78	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	9	-17	12.7	12.2	0.51	15.2	14.5	0.68
Quinn Cook	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	1	-1	14.9	12.4	2.46	13.7	15.1	-1.43
Kevon Looney	40	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	5	-9	13.2	12.1	1.11	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Alfonzo McKinnie	25	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	5	-9	13.4	12.3	1.15	15.1	15.0	0.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	23	24	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.11	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.9	0.66	13.9	12.2	1.70
Dante Exum	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.14	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.0	0.07	13.5	12.0	1.47
Derrick Favors	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	7	-15	16.0	14.2	1.78	13.1	12.1	0.96
Joe Ingles	78	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-7	13	15.2	14.6	0.58	12.7	12.0	0.71
Ekpe Udoh	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.9	2.29	11.0	12.7	-1.66
Georges Niang	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	4	-9	14.7	15.1	-0.40	12.7	12.5	0.15
Jae Crowder	61	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-11	21	14.2	16.2	-2.05	12.9	12.0	0.86
Rudy Gobert	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.63	5	-6	11	15.0	15.0	-0.04	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Donovan Mitchell	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.63	5	-6	11	15.0	15.0	-0.04	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Royce O'Neale	22	24	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	8	-17	14.8	15.1	-0.30	12.0	12.7	-0.78
Ricky Rubio	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.56	1	-2	3	14.8	15.6	-0.86	12.2	13.5	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	92.2%
LAC 117, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	91.0%
CLE 123, PHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	90.7%