NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	117		Excitement	8.5 [237]		MVP	Tobias Harris (LAC): +61.1%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	40.5 [31]		LVP	Avery Bradley (LAC): -3.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.61	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.21,0.33,0.61	0.13	0.48	0.00	21	76%	0.75	6	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.29	0.14	0.14	-0.01	23	60%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.09
Patrick Beverley	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	7	94%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.09	0.05	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16	0.16	0.19	-0.03	0.00	23	63%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.12	-0.01	9	50%	0.18	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	17	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	15	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.6	15.4	30.6	2.4	32.6	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +83.0%

CHA -14.6%

CHA -13.1%

CHA -11.5%

LAC +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	14.3	121.9	116.2	109.3
season	13.9	14.6		111.3	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.6	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	15.3	15.9	14.6	15.1
CHA	13.5	14.7	13.5	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	49	50	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.37	17	-15	32	14.2	16.1	-1.84	15.3	13.5	1.81
Lou Williams	64	68	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-16	34	14.4	16.7	-2.27	14.5	14.2	0.31
Avery Bradley	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	15.3	14.4	0.93	14.4	14.3	0.13
Patrick Beverley	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.63	-6	8	-14	16.1	13.8	2.29	14.4	14.4	0.07
Tobias Harris	72	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.67	-9	11	-20	15.9	13.0	2.92	13.7	16.6	-2.88
Sindarius Thornwell	27	30	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-11	24	12.3	16.3	-3.96	15.7	13.8	1.86
Jerome Robinson	12	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	15.2	15.1	0.02	14.7	14.4	0.33
Montrezl Harrell	57	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.14	4	-2	6	14.1	16.7	-2.56	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Marcin Gortat	26	25	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.07	-15	17	-32	17.2	14.4	2.81	14.2	14.5	-0.22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	35	34	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.10	-18	20	-38	16.8	14.2	2.60	14.1	14.6	-0.44

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	28	28	0.38	-0.88	1.25	-0.03	14	-16	30	15.5	14.0	1.48	16.4	14.6	1.76
Tony Parker	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	3	-8	16.4	14.0	2.49	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Jeremy Lamb	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-15	28	14.2	14.6	-0.38	16.6	13.4	3.17
Malik Monk	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	3	-8	15.7	13.8	1.86	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Nicolas Batum	82	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.50	6	-8	14	14.2	15.4	-1.22	15.3	14.3	1.04
Cody Zeller	48	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	4	-10	13.3	15.5	-2.16	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Marvin Williams	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.59	6	-8	14	15.1	12.7	2.38	15.5	14.2	1.36
Kemba Walker	81	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-5	8	14.0	16.4	-2.49	15.5	13.7	1.75
Miles Bridges	42	39	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	17	-36	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.4	16.3	-2.88
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	15	-32	13.7	14.9	-1.21	14.3	15.7	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	92.2%
CLE 123, PHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	92.0%
NJN 106, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.43,0	91.5%