inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 113 Excitement7.7 [366] MVPKhris Middleton (MIL): +17.8%
Charlotte Hornets 112 Comeback1.5 [700] LVPNicolas Batum (CHA): -32.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.180,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.180.070.11-0.001463%0.212-0.032100%0.01
Eric Bledsoe0.070,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.001365%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Brook Lopez0.070,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.02778%0.102-0.034100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.070.09-0.020.01972%0.0700.0000%0.00
Christian Wood0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00667%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Sterling Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.22,0-0.160.09-0.062146%0.208-0.201258%0.07
Tony Snell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Henson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01350%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Malcolm Brogdon-0.200,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2-0.04-0.140.02956%0.014-0.2100%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.170.170.080.110.021656%0.1700.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.110.110.20-0.040.052965%0.193-0.08580%0.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.00656%0.091-0.02667%-0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021125%0.0400.002100%0.01
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.01560%0.051-0.02560%-0.02
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.001145%0.0100.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.080.03850%-0.032-0.1100%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.080.00731%-0.131-0.0220%-0.09
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.33-0.33-0.08-0.27-0.02831%-0.222-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.528.614.525.42.536.4136.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +48.7%
MIL +13.5%
MIL +3.2%
CHA -22.7%
MIL +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCHANBAMILCHANBA
this game13.614.414.3109.7108.7109.3
season13.514.6112.4110.4
opponent14.314.3111.6104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.412.715.014.413.6
CHA15.315.012.714.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Giannis Antetokounmpo74760.65-0.150.810.3311-102113.314.3-0.9414.713.51.14
John Henson27270.490.010.480.432-1312.014.2-2.1214.214.4-0.24
Eric Bledsoe69700.450.050.410.344-3713.613.6-0.0214.913.21.78
Khris Middleton67680.410.090.320.352-1314.012.91.1415.013.11.93
Donte DiVincenzo49490.250.25-0.000.51-910-1913.114.1-0.9514.014.7-0.69
Brook Lopez49490.240.26-0.020.008-71513.114.1-0.9913.814.9-1.04
Malcolm Brogdon84820.090.41-0.330.0610113.912.31.6414.015.9-1.88
Tony Snell25240.070.43-0.350.0410113.413.7-0.3214.414.30.07
Sterling Brown01-0.010.51-0.520.05-23-50.013.6-13.607.014.4-7.43
Christian Wood109-0.010.51-0.530.07-34-717.913.14.7614.614.30.22
Ersan Ilyasova6160-0.130.63-0.760.16-1011-2114.013.00.9414.014.9-0.90

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist43460.05-0.550.60-0.043-4714.714.10.5013.813.50.33
Miles Bridges3132-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-71313.814.6-0.7914.313.31.03
Tony Parker4240-0.06-0.440.39-0.205-61114.014.6-0.5314.812.82.00
Willy Hernangomez2624-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-3514.314.4-0.1213.513.6-0.13
Jeremy Lamb4647-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-65-1114.314.4-0.0212.714.3-1.62
Kemba Walker8585-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-10-114.015.9-1.8513.414.6-1.16
Cody Zeller4847-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-1110-2114.314.4-0.0913.713.50.18
Nicolas Batum6869-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.31-43-714.913.41.5013.014.9-1.96
Malik Monk7171-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.635-61114.414.30.1113.513.8-0.35
Marvin Williams5554-0.610.11-0.71-0.49-43-714.614.10.5214.113.01.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.16,0.08,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 95, TOR 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.09,0.15,092.9%
MIL 129, SAC 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,092.6%
PHI 118, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,092.4%