NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	7.1 [440]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): +44.5%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	1.1 [1153]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): -13.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	75%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.17	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	11	50%	0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	7	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	14	31%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.41	0.10	0.06	15	105%	0.48	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Milton Doyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	4	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.18	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.00	21	50%	0.11	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	25.6	14.6	22.2	2.4	27.2	118.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +36.4%

BKN +6.9%

CHI -3.0%

BKN +6.0%

BKN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	14.7	104.0	112.9	107.5
season	14.2	14.7		103.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	15.0		109.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	13.0	14.6	14.5	13.6
BKN	12.8	15.3	14.8	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-8	7	14.4	13.2	1.16	15.4	14.8	0.59
Justin Holiday	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-7	5	12.6	14.5	-1.89	14.0	15.8	-1.76
Bobby Portis	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-11	13	14.3	13.0	1.23	15.6	14.4	1.21
Ryan Arcidiacono	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.1	13.1	0.98	16.2	13.8	2.47
Lauri Markkanen	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	13.1	14.2	-1.06	14.4	15.7	-1.33
David Nwaba	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-5	1	12.9	14.7	-1.81	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Cameron Payne	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	2	-13	13.1	14.1	-0.98	13.8	16.2	-2.47
Jerian Grant	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	14.3	12.9	1.35	15.5	14.4	1.12
Sean Kilpatrick	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	14.5	12.6	1.89	15.8	14.0	1.76
Cristiano Felicio	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	4	-17	13.2	14.1	-0.83	14.4	15.7	-1.27

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-7	23	14.5	16.1	-1.58	13.5	13.7	-0.18
Allen Crabbe	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	14.6	15.8	-1.23	13.4	14.0	-0.53
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	72	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	1	7	14.4	16.2	-1.74	12.6	15.7	-3.03
Dante Cunningham	39	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	3	3	15.7	14.5	1.20	14.8	12.7	2.02
Jarrett Allen	63	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	6	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.95	12.7	15.0	-2.30
Spencer Dinwiddie	76	77	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	9	-9	14.8	15.3	-0.46	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Nik Stauskas	36	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	4	1	15.7	14.5	1.27	15.3	12.5	2.82
Quincy Acy	37	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	7	-5	15.9	14.4	1.47	15.1	12.7	2.39
Milton Doyle	33	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	18	-27	15.8	14.5	1.32	13.5	13.6	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 91, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
VAN 79, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	93.1%