NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	6.1 [567]		MVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): +27.8%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	1.1 [1065]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -7.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	9	69%	0.19	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	19	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.00	8	68%	0.28	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	20	60%	0.17	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	8	58%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	14	61%	0.12	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.6	31.2	18.6	28.0	3.5	40.5	150.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -0.9%

BKN +23.4%

BKN +18.2%

BKN +8.2%

BKN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	18.3	15.9	15.4	108.3	131.0	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.5	18.3	18.0	18.6	18.3
BKN	14.2	19.6	14.1	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-19	19	19.8	17.8	1.98	13.7	16.8	-3.09
Malcolm Thomas	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	21.0	18.3	2.72	13.0	16.0	-2.98
Daequan Cook	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	21.0	18.3	2.72	13.0	16.0	-2.98
Taj Gibson	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-20	21	19.2	18.0	1.20	16.9	15.6	1.34
Marquis Teague	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-13	7	18.7	18.3	0.40	9.3	16.4	-7.12
Jimmy Butler	59	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-2	-15	18.3	18.4	-0.02	15.3	17.2	-1.96
Marco Belinelli	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-14	9	18.8	18.0	0.81	16.5	15.5	0.98
Luol Deng	74	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-8	-3	17.9	21.4	-3.47	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Carlos Boozer	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-7	-5	17.9	20.6	-2.76	16.7	11.6	5.12
Nate Robinson	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	-4	-11	18.4	17.7	0.73	16.7	9.3	7.40
Joakim Noah	51	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	5	-29	17.8	19.1	-1.28	15.5	16.6	-1.19

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.09	22	-3	25	15.2	18.4	-3.23	17.9	19.7	-1.78
Joe Johnson	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	5	9	16.6	13.2	3.47	18.1	19.2	-1.12
Gerald Wallace	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	1	17	14.9	20.5	-5.63	18.7	16.9	1.82
Deron Williams	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	2	15	16.2	14.9	1.25	18.0	20.0	-2.04
Andray Blatche	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	9	1	16.4	15.6	0.84	18.3	18.4	-0.10
Reggie Evans	42	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	13	-7	15.7	16.2	-0.55	18.7	18.0	0.75
MarShon Brooks	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	11	-3	12.6	16.3	-3.79	19.7	18.2	1.55
CJ Watson	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	19	-19	16.9	15.0	1.88	18.5	18.2	0.30
Tyshawn Taylor	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.0	16.0	-2.98	17.0	18.4	-1.36
Kris Humphries	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	22	-25	17.7	15.1	2.59	18.9	18.1	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.6%
DAL 103, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
HOU 82, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.1%